Ventas, Inc. (VTR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: VTRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VTR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ventas, Inc. (VTR) is a healthcare real estate investment trust with an enterprise value of $57.16B. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $6.42B in revenue with an operating margin of 14.8%. Its shares have generated a 1-year return of 26.5%, outpacing the broader market.

Market cap
$44.04B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.42B
P/E
159.0x
fwd 128.2x
1Y return
26.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$100.86
17.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue growth accelerated to 18.5% in FY2025 and reached 21.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow expanded from $593.1M in FY2021 to $1.32B in FY2025.
  • Analyst sentiment is positive with 14 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $100.86, implying 17.5% upside.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 159.0x and EV to EBITDA of 23.9x compared to peer medians of 30.3x and 17.2x.
  • The balance sheet holds $13.65B in total debt with cash and short-term investments of $199.0M, resulting in a low current ratio of 0.27.
  • Quarterly earnings growth fell 6.7% in the latest quarter, and current fiscal year EPS is projected to decline 2.5% to $0.44.

What Ventas does

Ventas, an S&P 500 company, operates at the intersection of healthcare and real estate, leveraging capital to unlock real estate value. As a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), Ventas partners with care providers, developers, research and medical institutions, innovators, and healthcare organizations. The company focuses on demographic tailwinds from an aging population to meet healthcare facility demand. Ventas maintains a diversified portfolio of properties and capital sources to navigate cycles, relying on experienced teams to generate cash flows. As of September 30, 2020, Ventas owned or managed approximately 1,200 properties through unconsolidated joint ventures.

Growth and profitability

Ventas expanded annual revenue from $3.83B in FY2021 to $4.13B in FY2022, $4.50B in FY2023, $4.92B in FY2024, and $5.83B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.0%. Annual revenue growth reached 18.5% in FY2025, up from 9.5% in FY2024. Operating margin stood at 11.0% in FY2021, 11.7% in FY2022, 9.2% in FY2023, 13.8% in FY2024, and 14.2% in FY2025. After net losses of -$47.4M in FY2022 and -$41.0M in FY2023, net income rose to $81.2M in FY2024 and $251.4M in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 21.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth declined 6.7%.

VTR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ventas held $199.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $13.65B, resulting in net debt of $13.45B. Shareholders' equity stood at $14.65B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93 and a current ratio of 0.27. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.68B and free cash flow was $1.32B. Cash outlays included capital expenditures of $363.9M and dividends paid of $860.1M, supported by share issuance of $2.45B, contributing to a 5-year share count change of 22.1%.

VTR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Ventas carries a market capitalization of $44.04B and trades at a trailing P/E of 159.0x and a forward P/E of 128.2x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Real Estate peers of 30.3x and 29.2x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA ratio of 23.9x is higher than the peer group median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 6.9x compares to the peer median of 7.1x. Over the past year, Ventas returned 26.5%, surpassing the 16.8% return for SPY, while its 5-year return of 81.0% trailed the 83.0% return of SPY.

VTR key metrics →

VTR dividend

Ventas provides an annual forward dividend of $2.08, yielding 2.42% with a payout ratio of 1.6%. The company pays dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at -2.2%, and its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 30, 2026.

VTR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 14 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 5 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target of $100.86 represents an upside of 17.5% from the last close of $85.86. Ventas beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $6.97B and EPS of $0.44. The next earnings date is October 27, 2026.

VTR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.27 and net debt of $13.45B make the company sensitive to refinancing conditions.
  • Share issuance of $2.45B in FY2025 contributed to a 22.1% increase in share count over 5 years, which dilutes per-share performance.
  • The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -2.2% reflects reduced payouts compared to historical levels.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VTR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ventas, Inc. (VTR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VTR income statement, VTR balance sheet, VTR key metrics, VTR analyst forecast, VTR chart. See the VTR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VTR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Ventas' dividend yield and payment schedule?

Ventas offers a forward dividend yield of 2.42%, corresponding to an annual forward dividend of $2.08 paid quarterly. It has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -2.2%.

What are analysts forecasting for Ventas' upcoming earnings?

For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $6.97B and EPS of $0.44, representing a 2.5% decline in earnings. The next earnings date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

How does Ventas' valuation compare to its real estate peers?

Ventas trades at a forward P/E of 128.2x and an EV to EBITDA of 23.9x, both well above the S&P 500 Real Estate peer medians of 29.2x and 17.2x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 6.9x is slightly below the peer median of 7.1x.

How much debt does Ventas carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Ventas carries $13.65B in total debt and $199.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $13.45B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.93.

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