CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CTREAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CTRE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) is a self-managed real estate investment trust specializing in skilled nursing, seniors housing, and healthcare-related properties. The company generated trailing twelve months revenue of $571.4M with an operating margin of 64.9%, following a 108.8% revenue surge in FY2025. It carries a forward dividend yield of 4.27% and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 22.8x.

Market cap
$8.64B
Revenue (TTM)
$571.4M
P/E
22.8x
fwd 21.3x
1Y return
12.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$43.79
19.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded 108.8% in FY2025 to $476.6M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.1%.
  • Operating margin of 64.9% over the trailing twelve months significantly outpaces the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 25.9%.
  • Consensus price target of $43.79 indicates an expected upside of 19.8% over the October 16, 2026 close of $36.55.

Bear case

  • Share count has increased by 142.6% over 5 years, highlighting significant equity dilution.
  • CareTrust REIT missed earnings per share estimates in all of the past 4 quarters.
  • Trailing price-to-sales multiple of 15.1x trades at a sharp premium to the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 3.7x.

What CareTrust REIT does

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that manages its own operations, focusing on acquiring, developing, and leasing properties related to skilled nursing, seniors housing, and other healthcare sectors. The company maintains a portfolio of long-term net-leased properties across the United States. Its strategy centers on partnering with high-quality healthcare operators to ensure efficient property management and stable income streams. CareTrust REIT expands its footprint through strategic acquisitions and organic initiatives while applying disciplined due diligence to identify properties with sustainable cash flows.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, CareTrust REIT generated a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 22.1%. Revenue grew from $190.2M in FY2021 to $228.3M in FY2024, before accelerating 108.8% to $476.6M in FY2025. Over that period, net income moved from $72.0M in FY2021 and -$7.5M in FY2022 to $320.5M in FY2025, when net margin reached 67.3%. Operating cash flow expanded to $394.0M in FY2025, with free cash flow of $379.0M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 43.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth was 8.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $571.4M with a profit margin of 62.2% and diluted earnings per share of $1.60.

CTRE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, CareTrust REIT held $49.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.21B, resulting in net debt of $1.16B. Total assets stood at $5.93B and shareholders' equity was $4.49B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 and a current ratio of 1.20. In FY2025, capital expenditures totaled $15.0M, share buybacks accounted for $3.3M, and dividends paid were $259.3M. The company's share count increased 142.6% over the past 5 years.

CTRE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $36.55, CareTrust REIT holds a market capitalization of $8.64B and an enterprise value of $9.94B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 22.8x, compared to 21.6x for the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its forward P/E of 21.3x is below the peer median of 23.5x, while its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 18.8x sits above the peer median of 14.7x. Over the past year, CTRE returned 12.7% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, though its 5-year return of 118.7% outperformed the index's 83.0%.

CTRE key metrics →

CTRE dividend

CareTrust REIT pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.56 per share, representing a 4.27% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 13 consecutive years and posted a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.0%. Its payout ratio is 89.6%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

CTRE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 10 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $43.79 implies a 19.8% upside from the last close of $36.55. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $619.7M and EPS of $1.69, reflecting 24.2% earnings growth. For FY2027, 5 analysts project revenue of $794.8M and EPS of $1.84. CareTrust REIT beat earnings estimates in 0 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

CTRE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash and short-term investments of $49.3M provide a modest buffer against total debt of $1.21B.
  • Dividend payout ratio stands at 89.6%, leaving limited retained earnings relative to $259.3M paid in dividends in FY2025.
  • The stock traded 4.6% below its 200-day average as of October 16, 2026.
  • Short interest represents 5.5% of the float.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CTRE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CTRE income statement, CTRE balance sheet, CTRE key metrics, CTRE analyst forecast, CTRE chart. See the CTRE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CTRE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is CareTrust REIT's current dividend yield?

CareTrust REIT offers a forward dividend yield of 4.27%, which corresponds to an annual forward dividend of $1.56 per share paid on a quarterly schedule.

How fast is CareTrust REIT growing?

CareTrust REIT delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.1% from FY2020 through FY2025, including 108.8% growth in FY2025. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 43.5% year-over-year.

What is CareTrust REIT's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company had $1.21B in total debt and $49.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $1.16B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27.

When is CareTrust REIT's next earnings report?

CareTrust REIT is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 4, 2026.

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