Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) AI Stock Analysis
MPT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMedical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) is a self-advised healthcare REIT focused on net-leased hospital facilities. Over recent years, the company has faced significant top-line contraction, with revenue falling at a 5-year CAGR of -4.9% from FY2020 to FY2025 and net losses reported in each year from FY2023 through FY2025. It carries a heavy debt burden, with total debt of $9.70B against cash and short-term investments of $396.6M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.80B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.10B
- P/E
- — fwd 6.7x
- 1Y return
- -38.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.12 70.3% vs last close
Bull case
- The REIT trades at a forward P/E of 6.7x and price-to-book of 0.5x, well below the US-listed Real Estate peer medians of 23.5x and 3.7x price-to-sales.
- Analyst mean price target of $5.12 represents a 70.3% upside potential compared to the last close of $3.01.
- The stock offers an 11.96% forward dividend yield with a 22-year history of uninterrupted dividend payments.
Bear case
- MPT carries $9.70B in total debt against only $396.6M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a low current ratio of 0.31.
- Net income remained negative over the past three fiscal years, including a loss of -$277.0M in FY2025 and -$2.41B in FY2024.
- Short interest stands high, with short interest accounting for 32.8% of the float as the 1-year stock return fell 38.2%.
What Medical Properties does
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust formed in 2003 to acquire and develop net-leased hospital facilities. From its inception, the company has grown into an owner of hospital real estate with 378 facilities and approximately 38,000 licensed beds in nine countries across three continents as of March 31, 2026. MPT's financing structure facilitates acquisitions and recapitalizations, enabling hospital operators to unlock real estate equity to fund facility improvements, technology upgrades, and operational investments. Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, the REIT was incorporated in Maryland and employs 121 people.
Growth and profitability
Revenue decreased from $1.54B in FY2021 to $972.0M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -4.9%. After generating net income of $656.0M in FY2021 and $902.6M in FY2022, MPT recorded net losses of -$556.5M in FY2023, -$2.41B in FY2024, and -$277.0M in FY2025. Operating margin was 55.5% in FY2025, recovering from 9.3% in FY2023. Operating cash flow dropped from $811.7M in FY2021 to $230.8M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.10B with a profit margin of -2.7% and quarterly revenue growth of 1.9% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Medical Properties Trust held $396.6M in cash and short-term investments compared to $9.70B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $9.31B. Shareholders' equity was $4.50B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16 and a current ratio of 0.31. In FY2025, the company generated $230.8M in operating cash flow and free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $222.1M, dividends paid totaled $193.3M, and share buybacks amounted to $23.4M.
Valuation and performance
MPT trades at a forward P/E of 6.7x, below the 23.5x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 7.0x and price-to-sales of 1.6x also sit below the peer group medians of 14.7x and 3.7x, respectively. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.5x. Over the past year, MPT's stock price fell 38.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 77.8% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.
MPT dividend
Medical Properties Trust pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 11.96%. The company has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years, though the annualized 5-year dividend growth rate is -21.1%. In FY2025, dividends paid amounted to $193.3M, and the last ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 3 Buy, 3 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings on MPT. The mean price target is $5.12, which represents a 70.3% premium over the last close of $3.01. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.10 on revenue of $1.04B. Over the last four quarters, the REIT beat EPS estimates twice. The next earnings release is scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16 and net debt of $9.31B create high sensitivity to financing and debt maturities.
- A current ratio of 0.31 signals limited short-term liquidity relative to near-term obligations.
- Annualized dividend growth over the past 5 years declined 21.1%, reflecting prior reductions in payout levels.
- Stock price volatility is elevated, shown by a beta of 1.49 and a 33.3% discount relative to its 200-day average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MPT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MPT income statement, MPT balance sheet, MPT key metrics, MPT analyst forecast, MPT chart. See the MPT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MPT AI stock analysis FAQ
What is MPT's dividend yield and payment frequency?
MPT pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.36 annually, which equals a dividend yield of 11.96% based on its recent share price of $3.01.
How much debt does Medical Properties Trust have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company reported total debt of $9.70B and cash of $396.6M, resulting in net debt of $9.31B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16.
What is the consensus analyst target price for MPT?
The mean analyst price target is $5.12, which implies a 70.3% upside from its last close of $3.01.
When does Medical Properties Trust report earnings next?
MPT is scheduled to report its next earnings results on October 29, 2026.