National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) AI Stock Analysis
NHI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNational Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) is a healthcare real estate investment trust focused on senior housing and medical facilities. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $435.8M with an operating margin of 41.1%, while quarterly revenue expanded 33.8% year over year as of June 30, 2026. The stock pays a forward dividend yield of 5.67% and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 19.2x.
- Market cap
- $3.26B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $435.8M
- P/E
- 19.2x fwd 18.1x
- 1Y return
- -5.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $80.88 22.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased 33.8% year over year, well above the peer median growth rate of 4.6%.
- NHI generated $220.3M in free cash flow in FY2025, supporting a forward dividend yield of 5.67%.
- The analyst consensus mean price target of $80.88 reflects 22.0% upside compared to the last close of $66.28.
Bear case
- Gross margin dropped sharply from 96.7% in FY2024 to 36.7% in FY2025.
- The company carries net debt of $1.25B against $30.4M in cash, alongside a current ratio of 0.59.
- The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 95.6%, while the 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was -3.8%.
What National Health Investors does
Founded in 1991 and based in Murfreesboro, Tennessee, National Health Investors, Inc. operates as a REIT specializing in senior housing and healthcare real estate. The company engages in sale-leaseback transactions, joint ventures, and provides mortgage and mezzanine financing. NHI's property portfolio includes independent living, assisted living, memory care communities, entrance-fee retirement communities, skilled nursing facilities, medical office buildings, and specialty hospitals. It collaborates with healthcare operators to fund expansions, redevelopments, and operational optimizations.
Growth and profitability
NHI's revenue expanded at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 2.6% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue grew 12.9% in FY2025 to $378.5M, up from $335.2M in FY2024 and $319.8M in FY2023. Gross margin was 36.7% in FY2025, compared to 96.7% in FY2024, while operating margin came in at 51.5%. Net income rose to $142.2M with diluted EPS of $3.45 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 33.8% year over year, and quarterly earnings grew 45.2% year over year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NHI held $30.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.28B, producing net debt of $1.25B. Shareholders' equity was $1.57B, and total assets stood at $2.96B. The company recorded a current ratio of 0.59 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $240.2M and capital expenditures were $20.0M, generating $220.3M in free cash flow. Financing activities in FY2025 included $181.5M in share issuance and $169.7M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At $66.28, NHI trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 19.2x and a forward P/E of 18.1x, both below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers (21.6x and 23.5x, respectively). Its price-to-sales multiple of 7.5x sits above the peer median of 3.7x, while enterprise value to EBITDA of 14.5x is near the peer group median of 14.7x. Over the past year, NHI declined 5.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 56.0% compared to 83.0% for the benchmark index.
NHI dividend
NHI pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $3.76, representing a dividend yield of 5.67%. Its payout ratio stands at 95.6%. The company has paid dividends for 36 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was -3.8%. The last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $80.88, which is 22.0% above the last close of $66.28. Consensus forecasts project FY2026 revenue of $459.7M and EPS of $14.55. For FY2027, analysts estimate revenue of $485.9M and EPS of $3.35. NHI beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Liquidity is constrained by a current ratio of 0.59 and net debt of $1.25B.
- Consensus estimates project EPS to decline 76.9% in the next fiscal year to $3.35.
- The stock has lagged broader markets, falling 5.3% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NHI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NHI income statement, NHI balance sheet, NHI key metrics, NHI analyst forecast, NHI chart. See the NHI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NHI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is NHI's dividend yield and payout schedule?
NHI offers a forward dividend yield of 5.67%, paying an annualized rate of $3.76 per share on a quarterly basis. The company has paid dividends for 36 consecutive years and carries a payout ratio of 95.6%.
What are analysts' price targets for NHI?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $80.88, representing a 22.0% upside over the last closing price of $66.28. Coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings.
How does NHI's valuation compare to real estate peers?
NHI trades at a forward P/E of 18.1x and an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 14.5x. This compares to the US-listed Real Estate sector peer medians of 23.5x and 14.7x, respectively.
When does NHI report its next financial results?
NHI's next earnings report date is scheduled for November 9, 2026.