Valley National Bancorp (VLY) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VLYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VLY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank, delivering commercial and consumer banking along with investment management. The regional bank generated trailing twelve-month revenue of $2.01B with a 34.5% net profit margin. Supported by a 3.48% forward dividend yield, the company has grown annual earnings per share to $1.18 over the trailing twelve-month period.

Market cap
$7.00B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.01B
P/E
10.7x
fwd 8.4x
1Y return
34.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$16.50
30.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings rose 31.8% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4x reflects a discount to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • The company holds $5.68B in net cash with cash and short-term investments of $9.13B against $3.45B in total debt.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell 2.2% in FY2025 to $3.49B after gross margins contracted from 89.4% in FY2021 to 53.9% in FY2025.
  • The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 0.0%, and share count expanded 34.6% over 5 years.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 14.5%.

What Valley National Bancorp does

Valley National Bancorp serves as the holding company for Valley National Bank, offering financial services across commercial, retail, insurance, and wealth management sectors. Established in 1927 and based in New York, the company operates across Commercial Lending, Consumer Lending, and Investment Management segments. Its offerings include non-interest bearing, savings, NOW, money market, and time deposits, alongside commercial and industrial loans, residential mortgages, and home equity lines of credit. It also conducts investment activities, international banking such as letters of credit and foreign exchange, insurance services, and investment management solutions. As of December 31, 2021, it maintained 232 branch offices across New Jersey, New York, Florida, and Alabama.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Valley National Bancorp produced a revenue compound annual growth rate of 17.4%. Total revenue reached $3.49B in FY2025, contracting 2.2% following $3.57B in FY2024. Operating margins stood at 21.3% in FY2025 with net income of $598.0M and EPS of $1.00, compared to net income of $380.3M and EPS of $0.63 in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 15.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 31.8% year-over-year. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $2.01B, operating margin reached 46.8%, and EPS stood at $1.18.

VLY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Valley National Bancorp reported cash and short-term investments of $9.13B against total debt of $3.45B, resulting in a net cash position of $5.68B. Shareholders' equity was $7.92B, total assets reached $66.32B, the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.44, and the current ratio sat at 0.17. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $343.8M. Capital returns in FY2025 included $277.9M in dividends paid and $72.8M used for share buybacks.

VLY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

VLY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.7x and a forward P/E of 8.4x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.5x compares to the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 0.9x. At the closing price of $12.66 on October 16, 2026, the stock returned 34.8% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, VLY rose 15.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

VLY key metrics →

VLY dividend

Valley National Bancorp delivers an annual forward dividend of $0.44 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 3.48% with a payout ratio of 37.6%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate stands at 0.0%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

VLY dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $16.50, representing a 30.3% upside compared to the last close of $12.66. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.27B and EPS of $1.28, reflecting 29.0% earnings growth. Valley National Bancorp beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 22, 2026.

VLY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock trades 4.0% below its 200-day moving average and remains below its 52-week high of $15.20.
  • Long-term performance has lagged broader markets, with 5-year stock returns of 15.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
  • The current ratio is low at 0.17 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting typical liquidity dynamics in regional banking.
  • The short percent of float is 14.5%, signaling noticeable market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VLY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Valley National Bancorp (VLY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VLY income statement, VLY balance sheet, VLY key metrics, VLY analyst forecast, VLY chart. See the VLY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VLY AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Valley National Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Valley National Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.44 annually, which represents a 3.48% forward yield and a 37.6% payout ratio. The firm has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years.

How does VLY's valuation compare to its financial peers?

VLY trades at a forward P/E of 8.4x and a trailing P/E of 10.7x, both of which are below the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 10.8x and 12.1x, respectively. It also trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x.

What are analysts forecasting for VLY earnings in FY2026 and FY2027?

Analysts project FY2026 EPS of $1.28 on revenue of $2.27B, representing 29.0% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts estimate EPS will reach $1.54 on revenue of $2.63B.

What is the condition of Valley National Bancorp's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $9.13B in cash and short-term investments and $3.45B in total debt, yielding net cash of $5.68B alongside shareholders' equity of $7.92B.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis