United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) AI Stock Analysis
UFCS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchUnited Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) provides property and casualty insurance for individuals and businesses across the United States. In FY2025, the company grew revenue 10.7% to $1.39B and delivered net income of $118.2M, up from $62.0M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue expanded 14.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 48.3%.
- Market cap
- $1.45B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.47B
- P/E
- 10.5x fwd 14.1x
- 1Y return
- 89.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $58.50 3.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings increased 48.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, supported by 14.4% quarterly revenue growth.
- Free cash flow reached $263.3M in FY2025, supporting a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5x, below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
Bear case
- Analysts project FY2027 earnings per share to decrease 3.0% to $4.84 from $4.99 expected in FY2026.
- United Fire Group's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1x sits above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
- The company's annualized dividend growth declined 10.9% over the past 5 years despite 43 consecutive years of dividend payments.
What United Fire does
Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, United Fire Group operates as a provider of property and casualty insurance across the United States. The company offers commercial lines, including property, liability, automobile, workers' compensation, fidelity, and surety coverage. For personal insurance needs, it provides automobile and fire and allied lines, including homeowners' insurance. United Fire Group also writes commercial multiple peril, inland marine, and assumed reinsurance products. It distributes insurance solutions through an extensive network of independent agencies to reach both individual and commercial policyholders across various regions and industries.
Growth and profitability
United Fire Group achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 5.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $988.2M in FY2022 to $1.10B in FY2023, $1.25B in FY2024, and $1.39B in FY2025. Operating margin recovered from -3.6% in FY2023 to 6.2% in FY2024 and 10.7% in FY2025. Net income reached $118.2M in FY2025 with diluted earnings per share of $4.60, improving from a net loss of -$29.7M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.47B with a 9.6% profit margin and diluted earnings per share of $5.39. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 14.4% year-over-year while earnings grew 48.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, United Fire Group held $139.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $146.3M, leaving net debt of $6.9M. Shareholders' equity was $977.3M and total assets were $4.01B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 and a current ratio of 491.12. In FY2025, operating cash flow totaled $269.7M and free cash flow was $263.3M. Cash utilization during FY2025 included $6.4M in capital expenditures, $16.3M in dividends paid, and $993,000 dedicated to share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
United Fire Group trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5x, below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 14.1x compared to the peer median of 10.8x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x compares to the peer median of 3.2x. The company's enterprise value is $1.39B, with an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 0.9x and a price-to-book ratio of 1.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 89.1%, outperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 benchmark. Over five years, the stock gained 188.7% versus 83.0% for the index.
UFCS dividend
United Fire Group pays an annual forward dividend of $0.80 per share, corresponding to a 1.42% dividend yield based on its last close of $56.44. The company maintains a 13.9% payout ratio and has distributed dividends for 43 consecutive years on a quarterly schedule. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 10.9%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 4, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating, with 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $58.50, reflecting 3.6% upside from the last close of $56.44. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.60B and earnings per share of $4.99, an 8.5% increase. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $1.90B and earnings per share of $4.84. United Fire Group beat earnings estimates in each of the past 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- United Fire Group posted an operating margin of -3.6% and a net loss of -$29.7M in FY2023, reflecting earnings volatility.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin of 11.8% remains below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
- The stock trades 24.6% above its 200-day average and close to its 52-week high of $56.98, leaving 3.6% upside to the mean price target of $58.50.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this UFCS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: UFCS income statement, UFCS balance sheet, UFCS key metrics, UFCS analyst forecast, UFCS chart. See the UFCS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
UFCS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is United Fire Group's dividend yield and track record?
United Fire Group offers a forward dividend yield of 1.42% based on an annual forward dividend of $0.80 per share. The company has paid quarterly dividends for 43 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 13.9%.
When is United Fire Group's next earnings report?
United Fire Group is scheduled to report earnings on November 3, 2026. The company has exceeded consensus earnings per share estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
How did United Fire Group perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, United Fire Group generated revenue of $1.39B, representing 10.7% growth. Net income was $118.2M, with diluted earnings per share of $4.60 and free cash flow of $263.3M.
What are analysts forecasting for UFCS stock?
The mean analyst price target is $58.50, representing 3.6% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $56.44. Analysts forecast FY2026 revenue of $1.60B and earnings per share of $4.99.