Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) AI Stock Analysis
THRM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGentherm Incorporated (THRM) is an auto parts manufacturer developing thermal management technologies for automotive and medical applications. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.58B in revenue with a net profit margin of 1.7% and diluted EPS of $0.86. Despite a 5-year return of -64.3%, recent performance shows momentum with June 30, 2026 quarterly earnings rising 798.1% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $1.58B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.58B
- P/E
- 33.8x fwd 11.1x
- 1Y return
- -9.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $48.00 65.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly performance rebounded in the period ended June 30, 2026, with revenue expanding 11.0% and earnings growing 798.1% year-over-year.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.1x, below the median of 14.1x for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
- Analysts anticipate 27.9% EPS growth in FY2026 to $2.90, supporting a mean price target of $48.00.
Bear case
- Annual net income compressed from $93.4M in FY2021 to $18.3M in FY2025, reducing net margin to 1.2%.
- Gentherm has significantly underperformed the broader market over 5 years, returning -64.3% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.
- Operating margin of 7.1% over the trailing twelve months remains below the peer median of 8.8% for US-listed Consumer Cyclical companies.
What Gentherm does
Gentherm Incorporated specializes in the design, development, manufacturing, and global marketing of advanced thermal management technologies. Established in 1991 and based in Northville, Michigan, the company operates across two primary segments: Automotive and Medical. Within the Automotive segment, Gentherm provides climate comfort systems such as seat heaters, blowers, and thermoelectric devices for automotive seats and steering wheels. It also offers integrated electronic control units, neck conditioners, climate solutions for door panels, armrests, cupholders, and battery thermal management solutions. In the Medical segment, Gentherm develops patient temperature management systems for regulating body temperature. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, first-tier suppliers, automotive seat manufacturers, and aftermarket distributors.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $1.05B to $1.49B, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. Net income experienced volatility over this timeframe, decreasing from $93.4M in FY2021 to $18.3M in FY2025, with net margin declining from 8.9% to 1.2%. Gross margin dropped from 29.0% in FY2021 to 23.5% in FY2025, while operating margin contracted from 11.0% to 5.2%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $1.58B with an operating margin of 7.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 798.1% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gentherm reported $213.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $325.1M, yielding net debt of $111.9M. Total assets stood at $1.49B against shareholders' equity of $723.1M. Financial leverage remains modest, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 and a current ratio of 2.06. In FY2025, the company generated $116.8M in operating cash flow and $61.1M in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $55.7M and share buybacks of $10.0M, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 7.5%.
Valuation and performance
Trading at $29.04 as of October 16, 2026, Gentherm carries a market capitalization of $1.58B and an enterprise value of $1.20B. Its trailing P/E of 33.8x is elevated compared to the median of 18.0x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. However, its forward P/E of 11.1x and EV/EBITDA of 10.5x compare favorably to the peer medians of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively. The stock carries a price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x and a PEG of 1.02. Over the past year, THRM declined 9.3% versus a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500, while its 5-year return of -64.3% lagged the index's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment leans positive, with 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, and no Sell ratings. The mean price target of $48.00 represents a 65.3% premium over the last close of $29.04. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.61B and EPS of $2.90, reflecting expected EPS growth of 27.9%. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts forecast revenue of $1.71B and EPS of $3.24. Gentherm beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margin eroded from 29.0% in FY2021 to 23.5% in FY2025, signaling persistent operational cost pressures.
- Total debt of $325.1M leaves the company with net debt of $111.9M as of June 30, 2026.
- Short interest represents 8.4% of the float, and the stock carries an above-market beta of 1.37.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this THRM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gentherm Incorporated (THRM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: THRM income statement, THRM balance sheet, THRM key metrics, THRM analyst forecast, THRM chart. See the THRM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
THRM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Gentherm Incorporated pay a dividend?
Gentherm does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company allocated capital toward $55.7M in capital expenditures and $10.0M in share repurchases.
What are analysts forecasting for Gentherm's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.90 on revenue of $1.61B. In the following fiscal year, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.24 on revenue of $1.71B.
How does Gentherm's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Gentherm trades at a forward P/E of 11.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 10.5x, compared to medians of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively, for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
When is Gentherm's next earnings report?
Gentherm is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 22, 2026.