Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) AI Stock Analysis
TCBX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) is a regional bank holding company operating Third Coast Bank, SSB in Texas. In FY2025, the company generated revenue of $366.9M and net income of $66.3M, following a 5-year revenue CAGR of 34.4%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, TCBX posted $229.0M in revenue with an operating margin of 42.7%.
- Market cap
- $691.2M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $229.0M
- P/E
- 10.3x fwd 10.2x
- 1Y return
- 10.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $48.43 16.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Net income increased from $11.4M in FY2021 to $66.3M in FY2025, lifting diluted EPS to $3.79.
- Quarterly revenue for the period ended June 30, 2026, grew 32.1% year-over-year, exceeding the peer median quarterly growth of 10.1%.
- The balance sheet held $866.2M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, accompanied by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21.
Bear case
- Annual top-line expansion decelerated from 26.8% in FY2024 to 8.5% in FY2025.
- The stock's 1-year return of 10.4% underperformed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Shareholders experienced dilution as the company's share count increased 33.0% over 5 years.
What Third Coast Bancshares does
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. functions as the holding company overseeing Third Coast Bank, SSB, specializing in commercial banking solutions for small and medium-sized businesses and professionals. Established in 2008 and headquartered in Humble, Texas, the bank offers deposit products such as checking, savings, money market, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposit. Lending solutions include commercial and industrial loans, equipment financing, auto finance, and working capital lines. The bank operates eleven branches across Greater Houston, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Austin-San Antonio, alongside one branch in Detroit, Texas.
Growth and profitability
From FY2021 to FY2025, Third Coast Bancshares grew its annual revenue from $103.2M to $366.9M, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 34.4%. Annual net income rose from $11.4M in FY2021 to $66.3M in FY2025, lifting net margin from 11.1% to 18.1% and diluted EPS from $0.86 to $3.79. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $229.0M with a profit margin of 32.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 32.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 12.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Third Coast Bancshares held $1.01B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $141.4M, resulting in net cash of $866.2M. Total assets stood at $6.74B and shareholders' equity was $670.8M, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 and a current ratio of 0.18. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $50.8M and free cash flow was $48.2M, with $2.7M used for capital expenditures and $4.8M paid in dividends. The share count expanded 33.0% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Trading at $41.50, Third Coast Bancshares holds a market cap of $691.2M and an enterprise value of $441.2M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.3x and a forward P/E of 10.2x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.0x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.0x. Over the past year, TCBX gained 10.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $48.43, representing a 16.7% premium over the last close of $41.50. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.96 on revenue of $258.0M. Third Coast Bancshares beat EPS consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings announcement scheduled for October 21, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, is estimated by analysts at $258.0M, down from $366.9M reported in FY2025.
- Liquidity metrics show a current ratio of 0.18 as of June 30, 2026.
- Short interest represents 3.5% of float as the share price sits 1.8% above its 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TCBX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TCBX income statement, TCBX balance sheet, TCBX key metrics, TCBX analyst forecast, TCBX chart. See the TCBX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TCBX AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Third Coast Bancshares' market valuation?
As of October 16, 2026, Third Coast Bancshares has a market capitalization of $691.2M and trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 10.3x.
When does Third Coast Bancshares report earnings next?
The company's next earnings report date is scheduled for October 21, 2026.
What is the consensus price target for TCBX?
The mean analyst price target is $48.43, which is 16.7% above its last close of $41.50.
How much cash and debt does Third Coast Bancshares hold?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.01B in cash and short-term investments and $141.4M in total debt, giving it net cash of $866.2M.