Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SVCOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SVCO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO) provides TCAD software, EDA software, and semiconductor intellectual property solutions. While the company demonstrated strong top-line momentum with 47.8% quarterly revenue growth for the period ended June 30, 2026, it recorded an annual net loss of -$41.2M in FY2025 alongside -$34.5M in free cash flow. Silvaco carries minimal debt with $11.3M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, but trades at an elevated EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 194.4x.

Market cap
$210.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$72.5M
P/E
—
fwd 28.6x
1Y return
8.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.17
144.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 47.8% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026, outpacing the US-listed Technology peer median of 11.6%.
  • All 6 covering analysts rate the stock a Strong Buy or Buy, with a mean price target of $15.17 that is 144.2% above the last close.
  • Silvaco maintains a low-debt capital structure with $11.3M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Net losses reached -$41.2M in FY2025 and -$39.4M in FY2024, contributing to a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -30.4%.
  • Cash burn remains substantial, evidenced by FY2025 operating cash flow of -$33.9M and free cash flow of -$34.5M.
  • Valuation multiples are elevated relative to core earnings, shown by an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 194.4x against the peer median of 16.6x.

What Silvaco does

Silvaco Group, Inc., headquartered in Santa Clara, California, specializes in providing technology computer-aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions. Its TCAD software suite supports physical etch and deposition simulation, photonics, organic light-emitting diodes, single event effects, and stress simulation. In EDA, the company delivers analog, mixed-signal, and radiofrequency circuit simulation and custom integrated circuit CAD across CMOS, bipolar, TFT, and insulated-gate bipolar transistor technologies. Founded in 2009, Silvaco also provides SPICE modeling services to semiconductor manufacturers, OEMs, and ODMs across display, automotive, power, computing, IoT, and 5G/6G markets.

Growth and profitability

Silvaco increased revenue from $42.0M in FY2021 to $46.5M in FY2022, $54.2M in FY2023, $59.7M in FY2024, and $63.1M in FY2025, producing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin stood at 78.3% in FY2025, down slightly from 79.4% in FY2021. Profitability has contracted in recent periods, as operating margin fell from 2.1% in FY2023 to -67.5% in FY2024 and -21.7% in FY2025. Net income widened to -$39.4M in FY2024 and -$41.2M in FY2025, compared to -$316,000 in FY2023. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 47.8% year-over-year, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $72.5M with an operating margin of -17.3%.

SVCO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Silvaco held $13.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.7M, resulting in net cash of $11.3M. Total assets were $115.3M compared to shareholders' equity of $83.6M, supporting a current ratio of 1.72 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02. Cash flow generation remains negative, with FY2025 operating cash flow of -$33.9M and free cash flow of -$34.5M, reflecting continued operational cash burn alongside capital expenditures of $618,000.

SVCO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $6.21 on October 16, 2026, Silvaco has an enterprise value of $269.3M and a market cap of $210.4M. Its forward P/E ratio is 28.6x, compared to 18.8x for the median of its US-listed Technology peers. The company's price-to-sales multiple of 2.9x sits near the peer median of 2.8x, whereas its EV-to-EBITDA of 194.4x trades well above the peer median of 16.6x. Over the trailing 12 months, Silvaco gained 8.2%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its year-to-date return reached 53.3%.

SVCO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 5 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $15.17, representing a 144.2% premium over the last close of $6.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $71.6M and an EPS of $0.05, reflecting 114.4% EPS growth. For the next fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue of $80.7M and EPS of $0.20. Silvaco beat EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.

SVCO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Silvaco held $13.0M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, which is small relative to its FY2025 free cash flow burn of -$34.5M.
  • Short interest represents 14.5% of float, indicating significant bearish positioning in the market.
  • The company has beaten analyst EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters heading into its November 4, 2026 earnings date.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SVCO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Silvaco Group, Inc. (SVCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SVCO income statement, SVCO balance sheet, SVCO key metrics, SVCO analyst forecast, SVCO chart. See the SVCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SVCO AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Silvaco Group do?

Silvaco Group provides TCAD simulation software, EDA circuit design software, and semiconductor intellectual property solutions. Its tools assist semiconductor manufacturers, OEMs, and ODMs in designing and modeling chips across automotive, display, power device, computing, and 5G/6G technologies.

What are analysts expecting for Silvaco's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $71.6M and EPS of $0.05. For the subsequent fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue to reach $80.7M, representing 12.8% growth, alongside EPS of $0.20.

Does Silvaco Group pay a dividend?

No, Silvaco Group does not pay a dividend. The company allocates capital toward operations and research, having spent $29.9M on R&D in FY2025.

What is Silvaco's debt and liquidity position?

As of June 30, 2026, Silvaco had $13.0M in cash and short-term investments and $1.7M in total debt, giving it net cash of $11.3M. Its current ratio stood at 1.72 with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02.

More Technology AI stock analysis