Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) AI Stock Analysis
SUPV AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGrupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) is a Buenos Aires-based financial services holding company operating banking, asset management, and brokerage services across Argentina. In FY2025, revenue reached $2.33T with a net loss of -$56.60B, while cash and short-term investments stood at $1.40T as of June 30, 2026. The stock closed at $7.22 on October 16, 2026, with a year-to-date return of -38.9%.
- Market cap
- $682.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $742.48B
- P/E
- — fwd 7.8x
- 1Y return
- 15.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.80 63.4% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock's forward P/E of 7.8x sits below the peer group median of 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers.
- Grupo Supervielle maintains net cash of $395.91B, backed by $1.40T in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Consensus analyst estimates project FY2026 EPS of $0.64, representing an estimated earnings expansion of 261.7%.
Bear case
- In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to -$1.05T and free cash flow fell to -$1.13T.
- Trailing-twelve-month profitability remains negative, with a profit margin of -11.2% and EPS of -$0.59.
- Quarterly earnings declined 29.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
What Grupo Supervielle does
Grupo Supervielle S.A. is an Argentine financial services holding company established in 1887 and based in Buenos Aires. The company provides personal and corporate banking, treasury and finance, capital markets, and support services. Its offerings include checking and savings accounts, personal and mortgage loans, credit and debit cards, mutual funds, and insurance products. Grupo Supervielle operates an extensive distribution footprint featuring 298 access points, comprising branches, sales and collection centers, and ATMs with biometric identification capabilities. In addition to traditional banking, the group provides asset management, advisory services, and online brokerage across Argentina.
Growth and profitability
Grupo Supervielle delivered a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 57.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $793.88B in FY2021 to $1.96T in FY2022 and peaked at $3.02T in FY2023. Revenue fell 32.2% in FY2024 to $2.04T before rising 13.7% to $2.33T in FY2025. Operating margin swung from 7.0% in FY2024 to -4.8% in FY2025, while net income shifted from $104.49B to -$56.60B. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $742.48B with an operating margin of 3.3% and a net loss of -$0.59 per share. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.3% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 29.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Grupo Supervielle held $1.40T in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.01T, yielding net cash of $395.91B. Total assets stood at $8.79T and shareholders' equity reached $1.19T. The current ratio was 1.91 and debt-to-equity was 0.85. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$1.05T and free cash flow was -$1.13T. Cash deployment in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $84.37B and dividends paid of $38.31B, while the five-year share count decreased 4.2%.
Valuation and performance
Grupo Supervielle traded at a forward P/E of 7.8x, below the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-book multiple stood at 0.9x, while EV to revenue was 0.8x and price-to-sales was 0.0x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. The company's market capitalization was $682.3M, alongside an enterprise value of $59.07B. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a five-year period, the stock gained 219.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Grupo Supervielle is covered by five analysts, consisting of 2 Buy and 3 Hold recommendations with no Sell ratings. The mean price target is $11.80, representing an upside of 63.4% from the last close of $7.22. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.43T and EPS of $0.64, indicating 261.7% earnings growth. Over the last four quarters, the bank exceeded EPS estimates once. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 24, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Earnings volatility is high, as seen in the swing from net income of $104.49B in FY2024 to a net loss of -$56.60B in FY2025.
- Execution risk is reflected by missing EPS estimates in three of the last four quarters, with only 1 earnings beat recorded.
- Share price momentum has weakened, declining 38.9% year-to-date and trading 22.3% below its 200-day moving average.
- Total debt stands at $1.01T as of June 30, 2026, creating ongoing financing obligations despite a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SUPV AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SUPV income statement, SUPV balance sheet, SUPV key metrics, SUPV analyst forecast, SUPV chart. See the SUPV stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SUPV AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Grupo Supervielle pay a dividend?
Grupo Supervielle distributed $38.31B in dividends during FY2025, though regular recurring dividend metrics are not reported.
What is Grupo Supervielle's valuation multiple compared to peers?
Grupo Supervielle trades at a forward P/E of 7.8x, which is lower than the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x. Its price-to-book multiple is 0.9x and its price-to-sales multiple is 0.0x.
What are analysts forecasting for SUPV stock?
Analysts maintain an average price target of $11.80, which is 63.4% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $7.22. Consensus expects FY2026 EPS of $0.64 on $1.43T in revenue.
How did Grupo Supervielle perform in its latest reported quarter?
For the quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 2.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 29.3%.