Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SPCEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SPCE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) develops and operates human spaceflight systems for space tourism and scientific research payloads. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.0M in revenue with an operating margin of -48452.2% and an EPS of -$3.19. In FY2025, free cash flow stood at -$438.2M, while the balance sheet held $255.1M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$368.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.0M
P/E
—
1Y return
-45.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.51
44.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to expand to $268.2M from a current-year estimate of $1.2M.
  • The mean analyst price target of $3.51 implies 44.4% upside over the last closing price of $2.43.
  • The company beat analyst consensus EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow remained deeply negative at -$438.2M in FY2025, driven by ongoing cash burn and $198.0M in capital expenditures.
  • The 5-year share count increased by 759.0%, reflecting substantial dilution to fund ongoing operations.
  • Trailing twelve month operating margin stood at -48452.2% on just $1.0M in revenue.

What Virgin Galactic does

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., based in Las Cruces, New Mexico, develops, manufactures, and operates spaceships and related technologies for commercial human spaceflight. Established in 2017, the company focuses on commercial space tourism and flying scientific research and development payloads into microgravity environments. Operations encompass ground and flight testing as well as post-flight vehicle maintenance to support safety and reliability standards. The company serves private individuals, research institutions, and government agencies seeking access to space.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue reached $6.8M in FY2023 and $7.0M in FY2024 before dropping 78.1% to $1.5M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from -1179.5% in FY2024 to -5680.7% in FY2025. Net income was -$502.3M in FY2023, -$346.7M in FY2024, and -$278.9M in FY2025, with EPS finishing at -$5.82 in FY2025. R&D expense fell to $80.5M in FY2025 from $152.7M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 67.0% year-over-year, leaving trailing twelve month revenue at $1.0M.

SPCE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Virgin Galactic held $255.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $265.3M, yielding net debt of $10.3M. Total assets were $816.3M, shareholders' equity was $396.1M, and the current ratio was 1.62. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$240.1M, capital expenditures were $198.0M, and free cash flow was -$438.2M. The company's share count increased 759.0% over five years.

SPCE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Virgin Galactic trades at an enterprise value of $437.0M and a market capitalization of $368.4M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 354.9x and its EV-to-revenue ratio is 421.0x, compared to a median price-to-sales ratio of 1.5x for US-listed Industrials peers. The stock's price-to-book ratio is 1.2x. Over the past year, SPCE returned -45.1%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock fell 99.4% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

SPCE key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, and 1 Strong Sell rating. The mean price target is $3.51, which is 44.4% above the last close of $2.43 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.2M and an EPS of -$2.32. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $268.2M and EPS of -$0.87. The company beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 12, 2026.

SPCE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash and short-term investments of $255.1M as of June 30, 2026, compare to an annual free cash flow burn of -$438.2M in FY2025.
  • Short interest stands at 24.3% of the float alongside a beta of 2.87.
  • Revenue fell 67.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, indicating ongoing commercial volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SPCE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SPCE income statement, SPCE balance sheet, SPCE key metrics, SPCE analyst forecast, SPCE chart. See the SPCE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SPCE AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Virgin Galactic's revenue in FY2025?

Virgin Galactic generated $1.5M in revenue for FY2025, down 78.1% from $7.0M in FY2024.

How much cash does Virgin Galactic have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $255.1M in cash and short-term investments, with total debt of $265.3M.

Does Virgin Galactic pay a dividend?

Virgin Galactic does not pay a dividend.

What is the consensus analyst price target for SPCE?

The mean analyst price target is $3.51, representing a 44.4% premium over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $2.43.

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