Star Group, L.P. (SGU) AI Stock Analysis
SGU AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchStar Group, L.P. (SGU) is a full-service energy distributor providing home heating oil, propane, and HVAC services. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.91B in revenue with diluted EPS of $2.27, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.0%. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 5.8x and offers a 6.04% forward dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $429.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.91B
- P/E
- 5.8x fwd 9.8x
- 1Y return
- 18.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $13.00 -0.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Star Group offers an annualized forward dividend yield of 6.04% backed by 18 consecutive years of payments and a 41.5% payout ratio.
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 5.8x and EV-to-EBITDA of 3.8x, lower than the US-listed Energy peer medians of 15.0x and 8.0x.
- Quarterly performance showed momentum as of June 30, 2026, with quarterly revenue growing 17.2% and quarterly earnings up 32.1% year-over-year.
Bear case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at -10.0%, trailing well below the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.
- Net debt is elevated at $242.9M relative to cash of $27.0M, alongside a working capital deficit marked by a current ratio of 0.87.
- Annual revenue has fluctuated significantly, including declines of 2.7% in FY2023 and 9.6% in FY2024, yielding a modest 5-year CAGR of 4.0%.
What Star does
Star Group, L.P. specializes in providing home heating and air conditioning products and services to residential and commercial customers across the United States. Its primary offerings include the sale of heating oil and propane, along with delivery services for diesel fuel, gasoline, and home heating oil. The company also delivers plumbing services and installs, maintains, and repairs heating and air conditioning equipment. Operating under general partner Kestrel Heat, LLC, Star Group served approximately 422,200 full-service home heating oil and propane customers, 71,100 delivery-only customers, and 26,700 fuel customers as of September 30, 2021.
Growth and profitability
Star Group posted FY2025 revenue of $1.78B, up 1.0% year-over-year, following declines of 2.7% in FY2023 and 9.6% in FY2024. Net income rebounded to $63.1M in FY2025 from $32.1M in FY2024, raising net margin from 1.8% to 3.5% and EPS from $0.79 to $1.48. Gross margin reached 29.6% and operating margin stood at 5.4% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.91B with EPS of $2.27, despite an operating margin of -10.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 32.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Star Group held $27.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $269.9M, resulting in net debt of $242.9M. Shareholders' equity was $388.8M out of $1.01B in total assets, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 and a current ratio of 0.87. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $71.0M and free cash flow was $56.0M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $14.9M in capital expenditures, $26.1M in dividends paid, and $15.6M in share buybacks, which contributed to a 15.3% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $13.09, Star Group trades at a trailing P/E of 5.8x, a forward P/E of 9.8x, and an EV-to-EBITDA of 3.8x, all below the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x, 12.7x, and 8.0x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.2x compared to the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 18.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a five-year horizon, the stock's 62.5% gain trailed the S&P 500's 83.0% return. Star Group carries a market capitalization of $429.5M and an enterprise value of $662.5M.
SGU dividend
Star Group pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.79, representing a dividend yield of 6.04%. The payout ratio is 41.5%, and the partnership has paid consecutive dividends for 18 years. Over the past five years, the dividend grew at an annualized rate of 6.8%. The last ex-dividend date was October 26, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage lists a mean price target of $13.00, which sits 0.7% below the last close of $13.09. Insiders hold 15.2% of the company's equity, institutional ownership stands at 42.3%, and short interest represents 0.1% of float.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short-term liquidity pressure could arise from a current ratio of 0.87 alongside total debt of $269.9M.
- Operating profitability remains inconsistent, as reflected by a negative TTM operating margin of -10.0% compared to 5.4% in FY2025.
- Revenue growth has been uneven, dropping by 9.6% in FY2024 before growing just 1.0% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SGU AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Star Group, L.P. (SGU). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SGU income statement, SGU balance sheet, SGU key metrics, SGU chart. See the SGU stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SGU AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Star Group, L.P. pay?
Star Group pays an annual forward dividend of $0.79 per share, equating to a 6.04% yield. It has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 18 years with a 41.5% payout ratio.
What is Star Group's valuation compared to peers?
Star Group trades at a trailing P/E of 5.8x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 3.8x. Both multiples are lower than the US-listed Energy peer medians of 15.0x and 8.0x, respectively.
How leveraged is Star Group's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $27.0M in cash against $269.9M in total debt, leading to net debt of $242.9M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.69 and its current ratio stood at 0.87.
What is the consensus analyst price target for SGU?
The mean analyst price target is $13.00, representing a 0.7% decrease from the closing price of $13.09 on October 16, 2026.