Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SGRYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SGRY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) operates a nationwide network of surgical facilities and ancillary healthcare services across 31 states. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $3.37B in revenue but posted a net profit margin of -2.6% and an EPS of -$0.69. Balance sheet leverage remains significant, with $4.02B in total debt compared to $216.7M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$1.91B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.37B
P/E
—
fwd 18.9x
1Y return
-30.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$18.82
28.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Surgery Partners produced positive free cash flow of $195.6M and operating cash flow of $274.3M in FY2025.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 10.2x and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.6x, both below the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 12.0x and 4.1x, respectively.
  • Analyst consensus targets a mean price of $18.82, representing a 28.8% premium over the last close of $14.61.

Bear case

  • Net income remained negative in every year from FY2021 through FY2025, including a loss of -$77.9M in FY2025 and an EPS of -$0.69 over the trailing twelve months.
  • Total debt reached $4.02B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.40 against cash of $216.7M.
  • Analyst projections for next fiscal year call for revenue to contract 10.7% to $2.81B alongside a 20.0% decline in EPS to $0.28.

What Surgery Partners does

Surgery Partners, Inc. provides surgical facility and ancillary healthcare services throughout the United States. Its operations are organized into two primary segments: Surgical Facility Services and Ancillary Services. Through Surgical Facility Services, the company operates ambulatory surgery centers and surgical hospitals providing non-emergency procedures across specialties including gastroenterology, orthopedics, ophthalmology, general surgery, and pain management. These surgical hospitals also provide diagnostic imaging, pharmacy, laboratory services, obstetrics, oncology, physical therapy, and wound care. The Ancillary Services segment includes multi-specialty physician practices, urgent care centers, and anesthesia services. Founded in 2004 and headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, the company managed 126 surgical facilities across 31 states as of December 31, 2021.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $2.23B in FY2021 to $3.31B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual top-line growth decelerated from 19.6% in FY2021 to 6.2% in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 23.1% in FY2025, while operating margin was 11.8%, down from 13.6% in FY2021. Net income remained negative in each reported fiscal year, recording -$70.9M in FY2021, -$168.1M in FY2024, and -$77.9M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue reached $3.37B with an operating margin of 13.7% and a net profit margin of -2.6%. Quarterly revenue growth was 2.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

SGRY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Surgery Partners held $216.7M in cash and short-term investments against $4.02B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.80B. Shareholders' equity was $1.67B, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.40. Total assets were $8.05B, and the current ratio was 1.95. In FY2025, the company generated $274.3M in operating cash flow and $195.6M in free cash flow, while spending $78.7M on capital expenditures. The company's share count increased by 52.4% over five years.

SGRY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Surgery Partners trades at a forward P/E of 18.9x, above the 17.3x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value of $5.75B reflects an EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.2x, below the peer group median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 0.6x compared to the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 30.9%, trailing the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 64.3%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

SGRY key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $18.82 sits 28.8% above the last close of $14.61. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.35 on revenue of $3.15B. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate EPS of $0.28 and revenue of $2.81B, implying a revenue decline of 10.7%. Surgery Partners has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

SGRY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High balance sheet leverage is reflected in net debt of $3.80B compared to a market capitalization of $1.91B.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with total share count increasing by 52.4% over five years.
  • Short interest represents 21.7% of the float, indicating elevated market skepticism alongside a high beta of 1.91.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SGRY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SGRY income statement, SGRY balance sheet, SGRY key metrics, SGRY analyst forecast, SGRY chart. See the SGRY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SGRY AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Surgery Partners pay a dividend?

Surgery Partners does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, cash capital deployment included $78.7M allocated toward capital expenditures.

What is Surgery Partners' debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Surgery Partners carried $4.02B in total debt and $216.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.80B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.40.

What are analysts forecasting for SGRY revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.15B and EPS of $0.35. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts project revenue of $2.81B and EPS of $0.28.

When does Surgery Partners report earnings next?

The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 9, 2026.

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