Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) AI Stock Analysis

Origin Agritech Limited is an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce business headquartered in Beijing, China. Founded in 1997, the company specializes in crop seed research, genetic improvement techniques, and the production and distribution of hybrid crop seeds such as corn, rice, and vegetables. Origin Agritech also operates an e-commerce platform catering directly to farmers, facilitating orders for agricultural inputs like fertilizers and chemicals, alongside consumer goods. It maintains research and development collaborations with institutions such as the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University.

Origin Agritech grew revenue from $46.4M in FY2021 to $113.4M in FY2024 before revenue declined 19.5% to $91.3M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted to 7.0% in FY2025 from 14.2% in FY2024 and 30.8% in FY2022. Operating margin was -58.9% in FY2025, compared to -32.3% in FY2024. After reporting positive net income of $55.3M in FY2023 and $20.7M in FY2024, net income dropped to -$53.3M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2026, revenue stood at $68.2M with a net profit margin of -61.8%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 31.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 64.2%.

As of March 31, 2026, Origin Agritech held $13.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $29.1M, resulting in net debt of $15.7M. The company reported a current ratio of 0.39 and negative shareholders' equity of -$37.7M against total assets of $92.6M. Cash flow generation remains negative, with an operating cash flow of -$22.6M and free cash flow of -$35.9M in FY2025. Capital expenditures totaled $13.4M in FY2025, and the 5-year share count change shows an increase of 29.8%.

At a last close of $0.97 on October 16, 2026, Origin Agritech traded at a market capitalization of $11.8M and an enterprise value of $13.5M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 1.6x, compared to medians of 1.8x and 10.5x, respectively, for US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its forward P/E is 19.0x, above the peer group median of 13.4x. Over the past 1 year, the stock fell 50.0% while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock is down 89.5% versus an 83.0% gain for SPY.

Wall Street analysts have established a mean price target of $5.00 for Origin Agritech, representing an upside of 415.5% compared to its last close of $0.97. In its recent reporting history, the company has delivered 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters. The stock carries a forward P/E multiple of 19.0x and a PEG ratio of 0.62.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Origin Agritech Limited (SEED). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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