Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) AI Stock Analysis
IPI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchIntrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE: IPI) extracts and produces potash, specialty fertilizer, and oilfield fluid solutions. The company holds a strong liquid balance sheet with net cash of $181.8M and generated trailing twelve-month revenue of $241.6M. However, its operating margin stands at 2.5% compared to the 18.5% median of its peers.
- Market cap
- $435.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $241.6M
- P/E
- 35.6x fwd 41.2x
- 1Y return
- 17.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.50 12.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Intrepid Potash maintains a conservative capital structure with net cash of $181.8M and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
- Quarterly earnings jumped 382.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.5x, well below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 10.5x.
Bear case
- Analyst estimates project next fiscal year EPS to fall 33.7% to $1.38 alongside a 4.5% decline in revenue.
- The company's trailing operating margin of 2.5% is significantly below the peer median of 18.5%.
- Wall Street coverage leans cautious, with 2 Strong Sell ratings against 1 Strong Buy rating.
What Intrepid Potash does
Intrepid Potash, Inc. extracts and produces potash for domestic and international markets across three operating segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. Its Potash segment supplies muriate of potash (potassium chloride) for agricultural fertilizer, industrial processes, animal feed supplements, and drilling fluids. The Trio segment produces a specialized fertilizer formulation combining potassium, sulfate, and magnesium into a single particle. Through its Oilfield Solutions segment, the company provides water, potassium chloride mixing services, and trucking solutions for hydraulic fracturing in oil and gas operations. Founded in 2000, Intrepid Potash is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Growth and profitability
Intrepid Potash delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.7% between FY2020 and FY2025. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 17.1% to $298.3M, returning the business to profitability with net income of $11.2M and an operating margin of 5.2%, following net losses of -$35.7M in FY2023 and -$212.8M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $241.6M with a profit margin of 10.9% and an operating margin of 2.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 1.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded by 382.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Intrepid Potash held $185.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.2M, resulting in net cash of $181.8M. Total assets reached $649.9M alongside shareholders' equity of $515.2M, supported by a current ratio of 6.33 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. In FY2025, the business generated $55.8M in operating cash flow and $25.5M in free cash flow while deploying $30.2M toward capital expenditures. Share count declined 1.3% over the prior 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Intrepid Potash has a market cap of $435.5M and an enterprise value of $312.4M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 35.6x and a forward P/E of 41.2x, above the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively. Conversely, its EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.5x is lower than the peer median of 10.5x, while price-to-sales matches the peer median at 1.8x. Over the past year, IPI gained 17.2%, slightly outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -21.9% significantly lagged the index's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 analysts, with 1 Strong Buy and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $36.50, representing a 12.8% premium to the last close of $32.36 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $269.5M and EPS of $2.08, up 44.5%. For next fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue of $257.3M and EPS of $1.38, reflecting a decline of 33.7%. The company has beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating results have been historically volatile, shifting from net income of $72.2M in FY2022 to a net loss of -$212.8M in FY2024.
- Quarterly revenue contracted 1.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, trailing the peer median growth rate of 8.3%.
- The stock carries a beta of 1.31, indicating greater volatility than the broader equity market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this IPI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: IPI income statement, IPI balance sheet, IPI key metrics, IPI analyst forecast, IPI chart. See the IPI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
IPI AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Intrepid Potash's revenue in FY2025?
In FY2025, Intrepid Potash generated revenue of $298.3M, up 17.1% from $254.7M in FY2024.
Does Intrepid Potash have debt on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Intrepid Potash had $3.2M in total debt and $185.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $181.8M.
What is the consensus analyst price target for IPI?
The mean price target from analysts is $36.50, which is 12.8% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $32.36.
When does Intrepid Potash report its next earnings?
Intrepid Potash's next scheduled earnings date is November 4, 2026.