ICL Group Ltd (ICL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ICLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ICL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

ICL Group Ltd is a global specialty minerals and chemicals company focused on agriculture, industrial, and food ingredients markets. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $7.71B in revenue with an operating margin of 12.5%. Its forward dividend yield stands at 4.13%, while net debt reached $2.63B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$6.41B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.71B
P/E
20.7x
fwd 55.6x
1Y return
-17.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$5.74
15.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 51.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, accompanied by 16.5% revenue growth.
  • The company offers a forward dividend yield of 4.13% and has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 22 years.
  • Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.0x trades at a discount to the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 10.5x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow decreased from $1.28B in FY2022 to $130.0M in FY2025.
  • The stock trades at an elevated forward P/E of 55.6x, well above the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 13.4x.
  • Over the past 1-year period, ICL returned -17.2%, severely underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What ICL does

ICL Group Ltd is a specialty minerals and chemicals producer headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel. It operates across four primary segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Innovative Ag Solutions. Industrial Products extracts bromine from potash production solutions and produces flame retardants and magnesia products. The Potash segment extracts potash from the Dead Sea and manufactures Polysulphate and magnesium products. Phosphate Solutions utilizes phosphate commodities for fertilizers and industrial thermal phosphoric acid. Innovative Ag Solutions manufactures specialty, liquid, and controlled-release fertilizers based on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate for global agricultural, industrial, and food markets.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 7.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $6.96B in FY2021 to a peak of $10.02B in FY2022 before retreating to $7.54B in FY2023 and $6.84B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue increased 4.6% to $7.15B, while net income fell to $226.0M with a net margin of 3.2%, down from a peak net margin of 21.6% in FY2022. Operating margin contracted to 9.8% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 51.6% year-over-year. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $7.71B with diluted EPS of $0.24.

ICL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ICL held $662.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.30B, resulting in net debt of $2.63B. Shareholders' equity was $6.15B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54 and a current ratio of 1.58. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $954.0M, down from $1.36B in FY2024, while free cash flow stood at $130.0M. Capital expenditures totaled $824.0M in FY2025, and the company distributed $224.0M in dividends.

ICL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

ICL closed at $4.97 on October 16, 2026, with an enterprise value of $9.55B and a market cap of $6.41B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.7x, compared to the median of 19.7x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its forward P/E is 55.6x versus the peer median of 13.4x, while its EV/EBITDA of 7.0x is below the peer median of 10.5x. Over the past year, ICL returned -17.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock fell 17.3%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

ICL key metrics →

ICL dividend

ICL pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.21 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.13%. The payout ratio is 66.5%. ICL has paid consecutive dividends for 22 years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 13.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 2, 2026.

ICL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 4 Hold ratings on ICL, with no Buy or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $5.74, representing 15.4% upside over the last close of $4.97. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.97B and EPS of $0.41, representing 13.1% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 11, 2026.

ICL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net margin compressed from 21.6% in FY2022 down to 3.2% in FY2025, reflecting sensitivity to mineral pricing cycles.
  • Net debt of $2.63B against cash of $662.0M requires ongoing cash generation to manage obligations and capital expenditures of $824.0M.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 66.5% leaves less cash for reinvestment if earnings fall below the expected $0.41 per share for FY2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ICL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of ICL Group Ltd (ICL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ICL income statement, ICL balance sheet, ICL key metrics, ICL analyst forecast, ICL chart. See the ICL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ICL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is ICL's dividend yield and payment schedule?

ICL has a forward dividend yield of 4.13% with an annual payout of $0.21 per share. Dividends are paid quarterly, and the company has distributed dividends for 22 consecutive years.

What are analysts predicting for ICL's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.41, representing 13.1% annual growth, and revenue of $7.97B. All 4 covering analysts rate the stock a Hold, with a mean price target of $5.74.

How much debt does ICL carry?

As of June 30, 2026, ICL carried total debt of $3.30B and cash and short-term investments of $662.0M, resulting in net debt of $2.63B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.54.

How did ICL perform in its latest reported quarter?

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, ICL delivered quarterly revenue growth of 16.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings growth of 51.6% year-over-year.

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