Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SAFTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SAFT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFT) provides property and casualty insurance products, including private passenger and commercial auto and homeowners coverage. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.29B in revenue with an operating margin of 13.7%. With net cash of $1.54B and a forward dividend yield of 3.54%, the stock has delivered a 59.6% return over the past year.

Market cap
$1.53B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.29B
P/E
22.3x
fwd 17.1x
1Y return
59.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$70.00
-32.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow expanded to $192.0M in FY2025, supported by $194.5M in operating cash flow.
  • The balance sheet is well capitalized with $1.54B in net cash and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly earnings increased 21.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • The analyst mean price target of $70.00 indicates a 32.7% discount to the last close of $104.03.
  • Trailing P/E of 22.3x trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
  • The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 81.3%, paired with a modest 5-year annualized dividend growth of 0.2%.

What Safety Insurance does

Safety Insurance Group, Inc. operates as a provider of insurance solutions across the United States. Established in 1979 and based in Boston, Massachusetts, the company specializes in private passenger and commercial automobile insurance as well as homeowner insurance. Its private passenger policies cover bodily injury, property damage, personal injury protection, and collision. Commercial auto policies cover trucks, tractors, trailers, and fleets. In addition, the firm sells homeowners policies for homes, condominiums, and apartments, along with business owners policies for restaurants, offices, contractors, and wholesalers, and personal umbrella policies for supplementary liability coverage.

Growth and profitability

Safety Insurance Group grew annual revenue from $864.7M in FY2021 to $1.25B in FY2025, posting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.3%. After revenue fell 9.2% in FY2022 to $785.1M, growth accelerated to 17.9% in FY2023, 19.8% in FY2024, and 13.0% in FY2025. Net income rebounded from a low of $18.9M (net margin of 2.0%) in FY2023 to $99.3M (net margin of 7.9%) in FY2025, lifting EPS to $6.42. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 21.0%.

SAFT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Safety Insurance Group held $1.60B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $59.8M, resulting in net cash of $1.54B. The balance sheet reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, total assets of $2.50B, and shareholders' equity of $876.7M, alongside a current ratio of 1.42. In FY2025, the company generated $194.5M in operating cash flow and $192.0M in free cash flow, while spending $2.5M on capital expenditures, $20.0M on share buybacks, and $53.9M on dividends.

SAFT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $104.03, Safety Insurance Group has a market cap of $1.53B and an enterprise value of $1.51B. Its trailing P/E of 22.3x and forward P/E of 17.1x are higher than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers (12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward). However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x sits below the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 59.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 63.4% trails the S&P 500's 83.0%.

SAFT key metrics →

SAFT dividend

Safety Insurance Group pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $3.68, representing a dividend yield of 3.54%. The company has paid dividends for 24 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 0.2%. Its payout ratio stands at 81.3%, and its last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

SAFT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $70.00 for Safety Insurance Group, which sits 32.7% below its last close of $104.03. Over the last four quarters, the company recorded 3 EPS beats. Its next earnings date is scheduled for November 2, 2026.

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 3.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Trailing twelve months profit margin of 5.3% remains below the FY2021 level of 15.1%.
  • Trading at $104.03, the stock sits 26.9% above its 200-day average and near its 52-week high of $104.15.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SAFT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (SAFT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SAFT income statement, SAFT balance sheet, SAFT key metrics, SAFT chart. See the SAFT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SAFT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Safety Insurance Group's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Safety Insurance Group pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $3.68, which yields 3.54%. The company has paid dividends for 24 consecutive years.

How much debt does Safety Insurance Group have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $59.8M in total debt against $1.60B in cash and short-term investments, leaving it with net cash of $1.54B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07.

When does Safety Insurance Group report its next earnings?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 2, 2026.

How has SAFT stock performed compared to the broader market?

Over the past year, SAFT gained 59.6% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, SAFT gained 63.4%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis