Safehold Inc. (SAFE) AI Stock Analysis
SAFE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSafehold Inc. (SAFE) is a real estate investment trust that provides modern ground lease capital solutions across major U.S. markets. Over the trailing twelve months, Safehold generated $436.4M in revenue with an operating margin of 73.7%. However, the company holds $4.65B in total debt against a market capitalization of $803.1M.
- Market cap
- $803.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $436.4M
- P/E
- 7.0x fwd 8.1x
- 1Y return
- -22.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.44 45.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Safehold achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.4%, expanding revenue to $385.6M in FY2025.
- TTM operating margin reached 73.7%, well above the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 25.9%.
- Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $16.44, indicating a 45.0% premium over the last close of $11.34.
Bear case
- Total debt of $4.65B significantly exceeds the company's market capitalization of $803.1M.
- Safehold's 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 18.9%, reflecting reduced payouts over time.
- The stock fell 80.2% over the last five years, substantially lagging the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Safehold does
Safehold Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on unlocking the underlying land value beneath buildings by providing modern ground lease capital solutions. Managed by its largest shareholder, iStar Inc.c, Safehold allows property owners to retain ownership and control of their buildings while accessing capital from the land beneath them. Headquartered in New York City, the company operates across diverse asset classes in major U.S. markets, including multifamily residences, commercial offices, industrial facilities, hotels, and mixed-use developments, aiming to deliver secure income and long-term capital appreciation.
Growth and profitability
Safehold expanded annual revenue from $187.0M in FY2021 to $385.6M in FY2025, registering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.4%. Revenue increased 44.5% in FY2022, 30.4% in FY2023, 3.7% in FY2024, and 5.4% in FY2025. Net income shifted from $73.1M in FY2021 and $135.4M in FY2022 to net income of -$55.0M in FY2023, before recovering to $105.8M in FY2024 and $114.5M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 20.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 7.8% year-over-year. TTM revenue reached $436.4M with an operating margin of 73.7% and a profit margin of 26.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Safehold held $15.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside $4.65B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $4.64B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.44B, with total assets of $7.52B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.91 and a current ratio of 36.51. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both totaled $47.8M. For capital allocation, Safehold distributed $50.9M in dividends during FY2025, while its share count expanded 32.1% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Safehold trades at a trailing P/E of 7.0x and a forward P/E of 8.1x, below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x and 23.5x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.8x, compared to 3.7x for peer medians, while its EV/EBITDA is 15.9x versus the peer median of 14.7x. The company has an enterprise value of $5.46B against an $803.1M market capitalization. Over the past year, SAFE shares fell 22.7%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 80.2% versus an 83.0% gain for SPY.
SAFE dividend
Safehold pays a forward annual dividend of $0.71 per share, representing a dividend yield of 6.24% with a payout ratio of 42.9%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with the last ex-dividend date on September 30, 2026. Safehold has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years, although its 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 18.9%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 6 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $16.44, representing a 45.0% premium over the last close of $11.34 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.62 on revenue of $453.4M. Safehold beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High financial leverage is demonstrated by net debt of $4.64B relative to shareholders' equity of $2.44B.
- The stock carries elevated price volatility as indicated by a beta of 1.77.
- Shareholder dilution has been notable, with the share count increasing 32.1% over five years.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SAFE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Safehold Inc. (SAFE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SAFE income statement, SAFE balance sheet, SAFE key metrics, SAFE analyst forecast, SAFE chart. See the SAFE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SAFE AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Safehold's core business model?
Safehold is a REIT that provides ground lease capital solutions, allowing commercial property owners across major U.S. markets to unlock capital by separating land ownership from building ownership.
What is Safehold's current dividend yield and payout ratio?
Safehold offers a dividend yield of 6.24% based on an annual forward dividend of $0.71, supported by a payout ratio of 42.9%.
How much debt does Safehold carry on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Safehold held $4.65B in total debt and $15.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $4.64B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.91.
When does Safehold report its next quarterly financial results?
Safehold is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026.