American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) AI Stock Analysis
AAT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAmerican Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT) is a diversified real estate investment trust focused on office, retail, and residential properties in high-barrier-to-entry coastal markets. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $435.4M in revenue with an operating margin of 24.3%. The stock offers a 6.39% dividend yield while carrying $1.72B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.65B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $435.4M
- P/E
- 73.4x fwd 60.6x
- 1Y return
- 16.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $23.50 10.4% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock delivers an above-average forward dividend yield of 6.39% backed by 16 consecutive years of payouts.
- AAT trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.5x, which represents a discount to the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 14.7x.
- The trust generated $94.9M in free cash flow and delivered an operating margin of 33.5% in FY2025.
Bear case
- AAT carries a trailing P/E ratio of 73.4x, well above the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 21.6x.
- Consensus estimates expect annual EPS to decrease 57.6% to $0.39 in FY2026 and fall an additional 5.1% to $0.37 in FY2027.
- The balance sheet holds $1.72B in total debt and $1.61B in net debt against $109.7M in cash and short-term investments.
What American Assets does
American Assets Trust, Inc., headquartered in San Diego, California, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust. It acquires, enhances, develops, and manages prime office, retail, and residential properties across vibrant, high-barrier-to-entry markets primarily in Southern California, Northern California, Oregon, Washington, Texas, and Hawaii. The company's portfolio features approximately 3.4 million square feet of rentable office space and approximately 3.1 million square feet of retail space. Additionally, it owns a mixed-use property with 97,000 square feet of retail space and a 369-room all-suite hotel, alongside 2,112 multifamily residential units.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $375.8M in FY2021 to $422.6M in FY2022, reaching $441.2M in FY2023 and $457.9M in FY2024, before declining 4.7% to $436.2M in FY2025. Across the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 4.8%. Net income rose from $36.6M in FY2021 to $72.8M in FY2024, followed by $71.4M in FY2025 with an operating margin of 33.5% and EPS of $0.91. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $435.4M and EPS was $0.29. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 1.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 5.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, American Assets Trust held $109.7M in cash and short-term investments against $1.72B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.61B. Shareholders' equity was $1.12B against total assets of $2.89B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53 and a current ratio of 111.45. FY2025 operating cash flow reached $167.1M and free cash flow was $94.9M. During FY2025, capital allocation included $72.3M for capital expenditures, $105.3M in dividends paid, and $2.4M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At the closing price of $21.28 on October 16, 2026, American Assets Trust carried a market capitalization of $1.65B and an enterprise value of $2.92B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 73.4x and a forward P/E of 60.6x, above the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x and 23.5x. Its EV/EBITDA of 12.5x sits below the peer median of 14.7x, while its price-to-sales of 3.8x compares to the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, AAT gained 16.1% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, but fell 28.6% over five years against an 83.0% gain for the index.
AAT dividend
American Assets Trust pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.36 per share, providing a 6.39% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years, generating a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.3%. The payout ratio stands at 1.9%, and the most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 3, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts cover the stock with 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $23.50, representing 10.4% upside compared to the last close of $21.28. Consensus forecasts for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, project EPS of $0.39, reflecting a 57.6% drop, on revenue of $446.7M. FY2027 estimates project EPS of $0.37 on revenue of $460.2M. The company beat EPS estimates in 0 of the past 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.53 and net debt of $1.61B expose the balance sheet to leverage risks relative to $1.12B in equity.
- The company produced 0 earnings beats over the last 4 quarters, indicating ongoing challenges in meeting consensus targets.
- Quarterly earnings fell 5.4% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026, highlighting near-term bottom-line contraction.
- Long-term total return has lagged broader markets, with AAT shares down 28.6% over five years while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AAT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of American Assets Trust, Inc. (AAT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AAT income statement, AAT balance sheet, AAT key metrics, AAT analyst forecast, AAT chart. See the AAT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AAT AI stock analysis FAQ
What types of real estate assets does American Assets Trust own?
American Assets Trust owns approximately 3.4 million square feet of office space and 3.1 million square feet of retail space. Its portfolio also includes 2,112 multifamily units and a mixed-use property with 97,000 square feet of retail space and a 369-room hotel.
What is American Assets Trust's dividend yield?
As of October 16, 2026, the company offers an annualized dividend yield of 6.39% based on an annual forward payment of $1.36 per share. It has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years.
How does AAT's valuation compare to its sector peers?
AAT trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.5x, below the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 14.7x. Conversely, its trailing P/E of 73.4x and forward P/E of 60.6x are higher than the peer medians of 21.6x and 23.5x.
What are analysts' price targets and earnings expectations for AAT?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $23.50, implying 10.4% upside from the last close of $21.28. Current fiscal year consensus calls for EPS of $0.39, representing a 57.6% decline, on $446.7M in revenue.