Gladstone Commercial Corporation (GOOD) AI Stock Analysis
GOOD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGladstone Commercial Corporation (GOOD) is a real estate investment trust focused on net leased industrial and office properties across the United States. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $170.2M in revenue with an operating margin of 40.4% and diluted EPS of $0.25. Its balance sheet carries $858.7M in total debt against $10.4M in cash and short-term investments.
- Market cap
- $608.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $170.2M
- P/E
- 49.9x fwd 61.0x
- 1Y return
- 20.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $14.12 13.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow reached $67.2M in FY2025 on operating cash flow of $88.2M.
- The stock offers an attractive forward dividend yield of 9.62% with 24 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $14.12, implying a 13.3% upside from the closing price of $12.47.
Bear case
- Gladstone Commercial carries $858.7M in total debt against just $10.4M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.46.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 61.0x, well above the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 23.5x.
- Analysts expect EPS to decline 36.1% to $0.15 in the next fiscal year.
What Gladstone Commercial does
Gladstone Commercial Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust specializing in the acquisition, ownership, and management of net leased industrial and office properties throughout the United States. Headquartered in McLean, Virginia, the company focuses on acquiring properties with long-term lease agreements to produce stable, predictable rental income and support financial stability. Since its inception in 2003, it has maintained a disciplined asset management approach, distributing regular monthly cash dividends on its common stock as well as preferred shares, while seeking strategic portfolio expansion across dynamic commercial real estate markets.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $137.7M in FY2021 to $149.0M in FY2022, declined 0.9% to $147.6M in FY2023, and expanded to $149.4M in FY2024 and $161.3M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.9%. Operating margin expanded from 26.2% in FY2021 to 37.2% in FY2025, though gross margin fell to 5.9% in FY2025 after standing at 78.9% in FY2024. Diluted EPS rose to $0.47 in FY2025, up from -$0.12 in FY2021. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $170.2M, with quarterly revenue rising 11.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings expanding 236.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gladstone Commercial held $10.4M in cash and short-term investments against $858.7M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $848.4M. Shareholders' equity was $157.4M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.46 and a current ratio of 1.13. For FY2025, operating cash flow reached $88.2M and free cash flow was $67.2M. Capital expenditures totaled $21.0M, share repurchases took $4.5M, and dividends paid absorbed $68.2M, while share count increased 27.7% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Trading at $12.47, Gladstone Commercial has a market capitalization of $608.9M and an enterprise value of $1.47B. Its trailing P/E of 49.9x and forward P/E of 61.0x compare to medians of 21.6x and 23.5x for its US-listed Real Estate peers. However, its EV/EBITDA of 11.2x sits below the peer median of 14.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 20.3%, beating the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY), though its 5-year return of -11.8% trailed the index's 83.0% gain.
GOOD dividend
Gladstone Commercial pays monthly distributions with an annual forward dividend of $1.20 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 9.62% and a payout ratio of 47.6%. The company has paid dividends for 24 consecutive years, although its 5-year annualized dividend growth was -4.4%. The last ex-dividend date is December 21, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold two Strong Buy, one Buy, and one Hold ratings on the stock, with zero Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $14.12, which sits 13.3% above the last close of $12.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus calls for EPS of $0.25 on revenue of $170.9M. The company beat EPS estimates in two of the last four quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $848.4M against shareholders' equity of $157.4M leaves the balance sheet heavily leveraged.
- The 5-year annualized dividend growth of -4.4% indicates past distribution reductions.
- Share count has increased 27.7% over the last five years, presenting potential dilution for existing shareholders.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GOOD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gladstone Commercial Corporation (GOOD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GOOD income statement, GOOD balance sheet, GOOD key metrics, GOOD analyst forecast, GOOD chart. See the GOOD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GOOD AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Gladstone Commercial's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Gladstone Commercial pays an annual forward dividend of $1.20 per share, representing a 9.62% dividend yield. Distributions are made on a monthly frequency and have been paid for 24 consecutive years.
How does GOOD's valuation compare to sector peers?
GOOD trades at a forward P/E of 61.0x, above the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 23.5x. However, its EV/EBITDA of 11.2x is below the peer median of 14.7x.
What is the consensus analyst target for GOOD stock?
The mean analyst price target is $14.12, representing a 13.3% premium over the last closing price of $12.47.
When is Gladstone Commercial's next earnings report?
Gladstone Commercial is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 3, 2026.