Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GNLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GNL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) is a real estate investment trust focused on single-tenant sale-leaseback commercial properties in the US and Europe. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $459.7M in revenue with an operating margin of 31.3% and a net loss per share of -$0.28. While GNL offers a high forward dividend yield of 10.23%, it operates with a substantial net debt load of $2.29B.

Market cap
$1.72B
Revenue (TTM)
$459.7M
P/E
—
1Y return
4.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$10.00
34.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock delivers an annualized forward dividend yield of 10.23%, supported by 12 consecutive years of payments.
  • Wall Street analysts have established a mean price target of $10.00, pointing to 34.6% upside from the last close of $7.43.
  • EV to EBITDA of 12.3x represents a discount compared to the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 14.7x.

Bear case

  • GNL holds a heavy debt profile with $2.46B in total debt and net debt of $2.29B alongside a weak current ratio of 0.28.
  • Annual revenue contracted by 38.2% in FY2025 to $497.9M, and quarterly revenue fell another 10.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter.
  • The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is -13.4%, alongside an expanded share count that increased 104.0% over five years.

What Global Net Lease does

Global Net Lease, Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is a real estate investment trust that specializes in acquiring a diverse portfolio of commercial properties worldwide. Its primary strategic focus is sale-leaseback transactions, specifically targeting single-tenant properties that are critical to tenant operations. These net-leased commercial assets generate stable, predictable income streams. Headquartered in New York City, the company owns properties across the United States as well as Western and Northern Europe. By operating as a REIT, GNL distributes the majority of its taxable income to shareholders to maintain tax-efficient status while managing its property portfolio.

Growth and profitability

GNL generated $497.9M in revenue in FY2025, representing a 38.2% decline from $805.0M in FY2024, following a 56.3% jump between FY2023 and FY2024. Over the 5-year span from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at an 8.6% CAGR. The company reported a net loss of -$225.5M in FY2025, compared to -$131.6M in FY2024 and -$211.9M in FY2023, though EPS stood at $0.02. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $459.7M with an operating margin of 31.3% and a profit margin of -2.9%. In the latest quarter, revenue declined 10.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 333.0%.

GNL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Global Net Lease held $168.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.46B, resulting in net debt of $2.29B. The company closed the period with a current ratio of 0.28 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63 on $1.51B in shareholders' equity. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $222.8M, yielding free cash flow of $189.4M after $33.4M in capital expenditures. During FY2025, GNL used cash to pay $235.8M in dividends and allocated $122.1M toward share buybacks, while its share count expanded 104.0% over five years.

GNL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

GNL trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 3.7x, which matches the 3.7x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio stands at 12.3x, below the peer group median of 14.7x. The company's price-to-book ratio is 1.3x and enterprise value to revenue is 9.4x. Over the past year, GNL shares generated a 4.3% return, lagging behind the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, GNL shares fell 16.9%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

GNL key metrics →

GNL dividend

Global Net Lease pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.76 annualized, reflecting a forward dividend yield of 10.23% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years. However, its dividend has decreased at an annualized rate of 13.4% over the past five years. GNL's payout ratio is 2.4%, and its last ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.

GNL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage on GNL consists of 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $10.00, representing 34.6% upside from the last closing price of $7.43. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.13 on revenue of $453.5M. For the following fiscal year, analysts forecast EPS of -$0.14 and revenue of $473.6M. GNL has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.

GNL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity pressure is elevated given a current ratio of 0.28 against $2.46B in total debt obligations.
  • Net income remained negative in FY2025 at -$225.5M, keeping profit margins depressed at -2.9% on a trailing-twelve-month basis.
  • Dilution risk exists after a 104.0% rise in share count over the past 5 years despite $122.1M spent on buybacks in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GNL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GNL income statement, GNL balance sheet, GNL key metrics, GNL analyst forecast, GNL chart. See the GNL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GNL AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Global Net Lease pay?

GNL pays an annualized dividend of $0.76 per share on a quarterly schedule, providing a dividend yield of 10.23% as of October 16, 2026.

What is Global Net Lease's debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, GNL carried $2.46B in total debt and $168.0M in cash, leaving net debt at $2.29B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63.

When does GNL report earnings next?

GNL's next earnings report date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What are analysts forecasting for GNL's share price?

Analysts have an average price target of $10.00 for GNL, which is 34.6% above its October 16, 2026 closing price of $7.43.

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