Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) AI Stock Analysis
RCAT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRed Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) is a military technology company focused on small unmanned aerial systems. While trailing twelve month revenue reached $71.5M with recent quarterly sales expanding 527.2% year-over-year, the company posted a net loss of -$72.1M in FY2026. Financial flexibility is backed by a net cash position of $300.7M as of July 31, 2026.
- Market cap
- $720.8M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $71.5M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -63.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.50 249.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 527.2% year-over-year in the period ended July 31, 2026, reflecting rapid near-term top-line scaling.
- The company holds $300.7M in net cash with a current ratio of 14.86, providing substantial liquidity to fund research and development.
- Analysts project revenue to expand 45.2% in the next fiscal year to $219.2M, alongside a mean price target of $16.50.
Bear case
- Free cash flow burn escalated to -$95.8M in FY2026, driven by an operating cash outflow of -$89.1M.
- The company posted a net loss of -$72.1M in FY2026 and missed consensus earnings expectations in all 4 of the last 4 quarters.
- Share count expanded by 162.5% over the past five years, indicating substantial past equity dilution.
What Red Cat does
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. operates as a military technology firm focused on advancing the drone industry through products, services, and solutions. Headquartered in San Juan, Puerto Rico, the company specializes in developing unmanned aerial systems tailored for diverse applications. Its flagship offering is the Golden Eagle, a small unmanned system with high-resolution imaging capabilities optimized for nighttime operations. In addition, Red Cat provides specialized unmanned aircraft designed for interior spaces and hazardous environments where human access is limited or impractical, serving both military and commercial markets.
Growth and profitability
Revenue has shown sharp fluctuations, moving from $6.4M in FY2022 down to $4.6M in FY2023, recovering to $17.8M in FY2024, falling to $7.3M in FY2025, and surging 459.8% to $40.7M in FY2026. Across that period, five-year revenue compound annual growth reached 52.1%. However, profitability remains negative, with an FY2026 gross margin of 3.1%, an operating margin of -163.5%, and a net loss of -$72.1M. Over the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, revenue stood at $71.5M with quarterly revenue growing 527.2% year-over-year, alongside an operating margin of -191.4% and diluted EPS of -$0.80.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Red Cat held $325.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $24.9M, resulting in net cash of $300.7M. The current ratio stood at 14.86, and debt-to-equity was 0.05. In FY2026, the company generated negative operating cash flow of -$89.1M, incurred capital expenditures of $6.6M, and produced free cash flow of -$95.8M. Over five years, the share count increased by 162.5%.
Valuation and performance
Red Cat trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 10.1x and an enterprise value to revenue multiple of 10.5x, well above the 1.5x price-to-sales median of its US-listed Industrials peers. The company's price-to-book stands at 2.2x. Over the past year, RCAT shares declined 63.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 66.8%, compared to an 83.0% return for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings include 6 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $16.50, representing a 249.6% premium over the last close of $4.72. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $151.0M and EPS of -$0.74. For the subsequent fiscal year, 2 analysts forecast revenue of $219.2M and EPS of -$0.56. Red Cat logged 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Profitability remains deeply negative, with a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -136.3% and operating margin of -191.4%.
- Short interest stands high at 25.8% of float, indicating significant market skepticism.
- The stock has declined 63.3% over the past 12 months and trades 56.4% below its 200-day moving average.
- Annual revenue has displayed extreme historical volatility, dropping 59.2% in FY2025 before rising 459.8% in FY2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RCAT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RCAT income statement, RCAT balance sheet, RCAT key metrics, RCAT analyst forecast, RCAT chart. See the RCAT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RCAT AI stock analysis FAQ
What products does Red Cat Holdings produce?
Red Cat Holdings develops unmanned aerial systems for military and commercial use. Key offerings include the Golden Eagle, a small unmanned reconnaissance system optimized for nighttime imaging, and drones designed to navigate interior spaces and hazardous environments.
Does Red Cat pay a dividend?
No, Red Cat Holdings does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward business operations, research and development ($17.9M in FY2026), and capital expenditures.
What is Red Cat's liquidity position?
As of July 31, 2026, Red Cat had $325.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside $24.9M in total debt, leaving a net cash balance of $300.7M and a current ratio of 14.86.
When does Red Cat report earnings next?
Red Cat's next earnings report is scheduled for November 12, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of -$0.74 on revenue of $151.0M.