Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PRCHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PRCH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) operates a software platform and property-related insurance business for the home services industry. Revenue grew to $482.4M in FY2025, reaching positive net income of $15.3M after several years of net losses. The company holds $405.3M in total debt against $218.5M in cash, leaving it with negative shareholders' equity of -$11.8M.

Market cap
$1.99B
Revenue (TTM)
$513.6M
P/E
—
fwd 69.4x
1Y return
16.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$21.79
24.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 46.2% through FY2025, reaching $482.4M.
  • Free cash flow turned positive at $52.1M in FY2025, up from -$32.2M in FY2024.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $21.79, representing 24.5% upside over the last close of $17.50.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries negative shareholders' equity of -$11.8M and net debt of $186.8M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Forward P/E of 69.4x sits well above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • Short interest represents 21.8% of the float, alongside a volatile beta of 3.16.

What Porch does

Porch Group, Inc. operates a software platform serving the home services and insurance sectors in the United States and Canada. The company is organized into two primary segments: Vertical Software and Insurance. Under Vertical Software, it provides software tools and services to home services companies, utilizing brands such as Floify, HireAHelper, ISN, iRoofing, Palm-Tech, Porch.com, Rynoh, and V12 across inspection, moving, warranties, security, and utility services. In its Insurance segment, Porch Group operates a risk-bearing carrier and independent agency offering property and casualty, home, auto, flood, and umbrella policies through brands including American Home Protect, Elite Insurance Group, and Homeowners of America.

Growth and profitability

Porch Group generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 46.2% from FY2020 to FY2025, with revenue expanding from $192.4M in FY2021 to $482.4M in FY2025. Annual net income improved from -$106.6M in FY2021 to $15.3M in FY2025, accompanied by a gross margin of 70.5% and an operating margin of 7.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $513.6M with an operating margin of -2.9% and a net profit margin of -2.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 155.3%.

PRCH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Porch Group held $218.5M in cash and short-term investments and $405.3M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $186.8M. Total assets stood at $816.0M, the current ratio was 1.37, and shareholders' equity was -$11.8M. Operating cash flow improved to $66.4M in FY2025, supporting free cash flow of $52.1M after capital expenditures of $14.4M. Over the trailing five years, the company's share count increased 18.6%.

PRCH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $17.50, Porch Group has a market capitalization of $1.99B and an enterprise value of $2.07B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 69.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 29.9x, both higher than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 10.8x and 11.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.9x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, PRCH generated a return of 16.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its year-to-date return reached 91.7%.

PRCH key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 6 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Hold rating, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $21.79, which is 24.5% above the last close of $17.50. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $514.1M and EPS of $0.08, representing 366.7% EPS growth. Porch Group beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

PRCH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company has negative shareholders' equity of -$11.8M with total debt standing at $405.3M.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin is negative at -2.9%, trailing the sector peer median of 37.7%.
  • A beta of 3.16 and short interest at 21.8% of float expose the stock to elevated price volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PRCH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PRCH income statement, PRCH balance sheet, PRCH key metrics, PRCH analyst forecast, PRCH chart. See the PRCH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PRCH AI stock analysis FAQ

What segments does Porch Group operate?

Porch Group operates two primary segments: Vertical Software, which provides software to home services businesses through brands like Floify, ISN, and HireAHelper, and Insurance, which provides property-related coverage through carriers and agencies including Homeowners of America and American Home Protect.

Does Porch Group pay a dividend?

Porch Group does not pay a dividend.

What is Porch Group's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Porch Group had total debt of $405.3M and cash and short-term investments of $218.5M, leaving net debt at $186.8M and shareholders' equity at -$11.8M.

When does Porch Group report earnings next?

Porch Group's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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