The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG) AI Stock Analysis
PNTG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThe Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG) provides home health, hospice, and senior living services across multiple US states. Annual revenue expanded from $439.7M in FY2021 to $947.7M in FY2025, reaching $1.10B over the trailing twelve months. While top-line growth accelerated to 35.8% in the latest quarter, the company carries net debt of $478.6M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38.
- Market cap
- $1.46B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.10B
- P/E
- 46.0x fwd 25.4x
- 1Y return
- 75.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $46.83 11.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 36.3% in FY2025 to $947.7M and reached $1.10B over the trailing twelve months, supported by 35.8% quarterly top-line growth.
- Free cash flow improved from -$24.5M in FY2021 to $26.3M in FY2025, supported by $48.3M in operating cash flow.
- The company beat analyst consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and consensus expects EPS to rise 18.8% in FY2026 to $1.40.
Bear case
- The company holds $15.3M in cash compared to $493.9M in total debt, creating a net debt burden of $478.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38.
- Shares trade at a trailing P/E of 46.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 25.4x, well above the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 24.6x and 12.0x.
- Net margin remains modest at 3.1% in FY2025 and 2.9% over the trailing twelve months, leaving little cushion against rising operating costs.
What Pennant does
The Pennant Group, Inc. operates as a healthcare services provider in the United States across two primary segments: Home Health and Hospice Services, and Senior Living Services. Its Home Health division provides clinical care such as nursing, speech therapy, occupational and physical therapy, medical social work, and home health aides. The Hospice segment delivers end-of-life care focusing on the physical, spiritual, and psychosocial needs of terminally ill patients and their families. The Senior Living Services segment offers residential accommodations, daily activities, meals, housekeeping, and daily living assistance. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 88 home health and hospice agencies and 54 senior living communities with 4,127 units.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $439.7M in FY2021 to $473.2M in FY2022, $544.9M in FY2023, $695.2M in FY2024, and $947.7M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.4%. Revenue growth accelerated to 36.3% in FY2025, while gross margin was 12.9% and operating margin was 5.4%. Net income increased from $2.7M in FY2021 to $29.6M in FY2025, with diluted EPS rising from $0.46 to $1.13. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.10B, with a profit margin of 2.9% and an operating margin of 6.2%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 35.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 25.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, The Pennant Group held $15.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $493.9M, leaving net debt at $478.6M. Shareholders' equity was $359.2M against total assets of $1.04B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 and a current ratio of 1.20. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $48.3M and capital expenditures were $22.0M, generating free cash flow of $26.3M. Over the trailing 5-year period, the company's share count increased 26.0%.
Valuation and performance
At $41.87 per share, The Pennant Group has a market capitalization of $1.46B and an enterprise value of $1.86B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 46.0x and a forward P/E of 25.4x, higher than the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 24.6x and 17.3x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 25.4x also stands above the peer median of 12.0x, though its price-to-sales of 1.3x is below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, PNTG gained 75.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 61.4% trailed the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and no Hold or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $46.83, which is 11.9% above the last closing price of $41.87. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.40 on revenue of $1.18B. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $1.59 on revenue of $1.28B. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Leverage is elevated, with total debt of $493.9M exceeding shareholders' equity of $359.2M.
- Dilution has been noticeable, as the company's share count expanded 26.0% over the 5-year period.
- Trailing operating margin of 6.2% is well below the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 14.0%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PNTG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PNTG income statement, PNTG balance sheet, PNTG key metrics, PNTG analyst forecast, PNTG chart. See the PNTG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PNTG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is The Pennant Group's valuation compared to peers?
The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 46.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 25.4x, which are both above the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 24.6x and 12.0x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 1.3x is lower than the peer median of 4.1x.
How fast is PNTG growing its revenue?
The company delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.4% through FY2025, when revenue grew 36.3% to $947.7M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 35.8% year-over-year.
What is The Pennant Group's financial position?
As of June 30, 2026, The Pennant Group held $15.3M in cash and short-term investments against $493.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $478.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38.
What are analysts' expectations for PNTG stock?
Analysts hold 6 Strong Buy and 1 Buy ratings, with a mean price target of $46.83, representing an 11.9% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $41.87. Consensus expects FY2026 revenue of $1.18B and EPS of $1.40.