PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) AI Stock Analysis
PD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPagerDuty, Inc. provides a digital operations management platform that uses machine learning to predict and process operational incidents in real time. The company delivered FY2026 revenue of $492.5M and reached annual net profitability of $173.9M, up from a net loss of -$42.7M in FY2025. However, revenue expansion has decelerated, with quarterly revenue growing just 0.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending July 31, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.27B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $494.7M
- P/E
- 8.0x fwd 11.0x
- 1Y return
- 2.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $12.64 -21.8% vs last close
Bull case
- PagerDuty produced $111.9M in free cash flow in FY2026 alongside a healthy gross margin of 84.9%.
- The company holds $470.0M in cash and short-term investments, preserving a positive net cash position of $57.2M.
- Valuation multiples appear modest relative to peers, with a trailing P/E of 8.0x compared to the US-listed Technology median of 28.1x.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue growth slipped to 0.8% year-over-year in the quarter ending July 31, 2026, while quarterly earnings fell 40.0%.
- The mean analyst price target of $12.64 implies a potential downside of 21.8% from the recent close of $16.16.
- Short interest stands elevated, with short percent of float at 12.0%.
What PagerDuty does
PagerDuty, Inc. is a provider of digital operations management solutions headquartered in San Francisco, California. Founded in 2009, the company operates across the United States, Japan, and globally, employing 1,155 people. Its platform collects digital signals from software-enabled systems and devices, applying machine learning to correlate, process, and predict issues and opportunities in real time. PagerDuty serves customers across multiple sectors, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services, assisting organizations with operational visibility, incident response, resilience, and service reliability.
Growth and profitability
PagerDuty expanded its revenue from $281.4M in FY2022 to $492.5M in FY2026, delivering an 18.2% 5-year revenue CAGR. Top-line expansion slowed over this span, moving from 31.8% in FY2022 and FY2023 to 16.2% in FY2024, 8.5% in FY2025, and 5.4% in FY2026. Gross margin strengthened each year from 81.0% in FY2023 to 84.9% in FY2026. Operating margin turned positive at 1.2% in FY2026, resulting in net income of $173.9M and diluted EPS of $1.17. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $494.7M with an operating margin of 8.2% and EPS of $2.02. In the latest quarter ending July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue growth slowed to 0.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 40.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, PagerDuty held $470.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $412.8M, resulting in net cash of $57.2M. The company reported total assets of $958.3M and shareholders' equity of $232.0M, with a current ratio of 2.02 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78. In FY2026, operating cash flow stood at $114.9M and free cash flow reached $111.9M. Capital expenditures were $2.9M, while share buybacks totaled $134.9M, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -6.8%.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $16.16, PagerDuty has a market capitalization of $1.27B and an enterprise value of $1.11B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.0x and a forward P/E of 11.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers (28.1x trailing and 18.8x forward). Its price-to-sales multiple is 2.6x versus the peer median of 2.8x, while its EV/EBITDA of 18.4x is above the peer median of 16.6x. PagerDuty's 1-year return of 2.7% trails the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of -60.9% lags the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The consensus mean price target is $12.64, representing a -21.8% difference from the last close of $16.16. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $1.36 on revenue of $494.3M. For the next fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $504.3M, reflecting 2.0% growth, and EPS of $1.47. PagerDuty has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 24, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Top-line growth has steadily declined from 31.8% in FY2022 to a projected 2.0% in the fiscal year ending January 2028.
- Total debt of $412.8M represents a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78 relative to $232.0M in shareholders' equity.
- The stock has lagged broader benchmarks significantly over the long term, declining 60.9% over five years compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of PagerDuty, Inc. (PD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PD income statement, PD balance sheet, PD key metrics, PD analyst forecast, PD chart. See the PD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PD AI stock analysis FAQ
Does PagerDuty pay a dividend?
No, PagerDuty does not currently pay a dividend. Capital allocation has focused on operations and share repurchases, including $134.9M in share buybacks during FY2026.
What are Wall Street's expectations for PagerDuty's next fiscal year?
For the fiscal year ending January 2028, 9 analysts project revenue of $504.3M, representing 2.0% year-over-year growth. Consensus estimates also expect EPS of $1.47, reflecting an 8.3% increase.
How leveraged is PagerDuty's balance sheet?
As of July 31, 2026, PagerDuty held $412.8M in total debt against $470.0M in cash and short-term investments, leaving a positive net cash balance of $57.2M. However, its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.78.
When is PagerDuty's next earnings report?
PagerDuty is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 24, 2026. The company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing 4 quarters.