Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) AI Stock Analysis
PCYO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) provides wholesale water and wastewater services and develops master-planned real estate along the Colorado Front Range. For the trailing twelve months, revenue stood at $33.7M with an operating margin of 25.7% and a profit margin of 43.7%. In the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 60.0% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $265.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $33.7M
- P/E
- 18.1x fwd 56.5x
- 1Y return
- 0.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $6.55 -40.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 60.0% year-over-year in the period ended May 31, 2026, alongside 33.3% earnings growth.
- The company delivered strong trailing twelve months profitability, achieving a profit margin of 43.7% and an operating margin of 25.7%.
- Financial leverage remains modest, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 and net debt of $5.7M as of May 31, 2026.
Bear case
- The mean analyst price target of $6.55 sits 40.6% below the last closing price of $11.02.
- Long-term revenue growth has been minimal, marked by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 0.2% from FY2020 to FY2025.
- Pure Cycle trades at a forward P/E of 56.5x, well above the 17.2x median of its US-listed Utilities peers.
What Pure Cycle does
Pure Cycle Corporation, based in Watkins, Colorado, specializes in the design, construction, operation, and maintenance of water and wastewater systems across the Denver metropolitan area and Colorado Front Range. Founded in 1976, the company operates two primary segments: Wholesale Water and Wastewater Services, and Land Development. In its utility segment, Pure Cycle produces, stores, treats, and distributes wholesale water, while collecting and treating wastewater for domestic, commercial, and industrial customers. Its Land Development segment is engaged in developing a 930-acre master-planned community, which includes constructing and leasing single-family homes. Pure Cycle also maintains an oil and gas leasing business.
Growth and profitability
In FY2025, Pure Cycle generated revenue of $26.1M, down 9.3% from $28.7M in FY2024. Top-line results have fluctuated historically, with revenue rising 97.1% in FY2024 following a 36.6% drop to $14.6M in FY2023. Over the five fiscal years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 0.2%. Profitability remained positive, with FY2025 net income reaching $13.1M, a net margin of 50.3%, and EPS of $0.54. Gross margin was 61.4% and operating margin was 29.4% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $33.7M. In the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 60.0% and quarterly earnings expanded 33.3% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of May 31, 2026, Pure Cycle held $8.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.1M, resulting in net debt of $5.7M. Total assets were $176.0M compared to shareholders' equity of $151.6M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.53 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $13.2M and capital expenditures were $9.5M, generating free cash flow of $3.7M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $397,000 for share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $11.02 on October 16, 2026, Pure Cycle had a market cap of $265.6M and an enterprise value of $270.9M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 18.1x, below the 20.6x median of its US-listed Utilities peers. However, its forward P/E of 56.5x is above the peer median of 17.2x. Pure Cycle carries a price-to-sales multiple of 7.9x versus the peer median of 2.4x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 13.0x versus 12.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 0.1%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -27.8% compared to 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage features a mean price target of $6.55, which is 40.6% below the last close of $11.02. For the current fiscal year ending August 31, 2026, the consensus revenue estimate is $0. Pure Cycle is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue has shown high annual volatility, falling 36.6% in FY2023 before surging 97.1% in FY2024.
- Free cash flow has varied considerably, moving from -$10.2M in FY2023 to $3.7M in FY2025 amid capital expenditures of $9.5M.
- The stock has lagged broader markets over a 5-year period, returning -27.8% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.
- The analyst revenue estimate for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2026, stands at $0.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PCYO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PCYO income statement, PCYO balance sheet, PCYO key metrics, PCYO analyst forecast, PCYO chart. See the PCYO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PCYO AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Pure Cycle Corporation do?
Pure Cycle Corporation provides wholesale water production, storage, treatment, and wastewater handling services in the Denver area, and develops a 930-acre master-planned community with single-family home rentals.
Does Pure Cycle Corporation pay a dividend?
Pure Cycle does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company used $397,000 for share buybacks.
How does Pure Cycle's valuation compare to utility peers?
Its trailing P/E of 18.1x is below the median of its US-listed Utilities peers of 20.6x, but its forward P/E of 56.5x is higher than the peer median of 17.2x.
What is the analyst price target for PCYO?
The mean analyst price target is $6.55, which is 40.6% below the last closing price of $11.02.
When is Pure Cycle's next earnings report?
Pure Cycle is scheduled to release its next earnings report on November 11, 2026.