American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AWKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AWK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) provides regulated water and wastewater services to approximately 3.4 million active customers across the United States. In FY2025, revenue reached $5.14B with net income of $1.11B, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.4%. However, heavy infrastructure investments led to negative free cash flow of -$1.07B in FY2025 alongside total debt of $16.06B.

Market cap
$26.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.28B
P/E
23.4x
fwd 20.0x
1Y return
-3.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$140.64
4.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating margin expanded from 30.4% in FY2021 to 36.6% in FY2025, reaching 40.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • The company sustained consistent dividend expansion with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.6% and 19 consecutive years of payments.
  • Revenue reached $5.14B in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.4%.

Bear case

  • Substantial capital expenditures of $3.13B contributed to negative free cash flow of -$1.07B in FY2025.
  • The stock trades at a premium forward P/E of 20.0x compared to the median of its S&P 500 Utilities peers of 16.0x.
  • Shares delivered a 5-year return of -12.3%, significantly trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What American Water does

American Water Works Company, Inc., founded in 1886 and headquartered in Camden, New Jersey, provides water and wastewater services across 14 states, serving around 3.4 million active customers in 1,600 communities. Its customer base includes residential households, commercial businesses, industrial manufacturers, public sector facilities, and military installations. The company operates approximately 80 surface water treatment plants, 490 groundwater treatment plants, 175 wastewater treatment plants, and 53,500 miles of mains and pipes. Additionally, it oversees 1,100 groundwater wells, 1,700 pumping stations, 1,100 treated water storage facilities, and 73 dams, delivering services to approximately 14 million people across 24 states.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue expanded from $3.93B to $5.14B, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.4%. Net income grew from $820.0M in FY2022 to $1.11B in FY2025, with EPS increasing from $4.43 to $5.71 over that period. Operating margin improved from 30.4% in FY2021 to 36.6% in FY2025, though gross margin contracted to 43.3% in FY2025 from 60.3% in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $5.28B with an operating margin of 40.7% and a profit margin of 21.3%. For the latest quarter, quarterly revenue rose 6.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 8.6%.

AWK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, American Water Works held $191.0M in cash and short-term investments against $16.06B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $15.87B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38. The current ratio stood at 0.52 against total assets of $36.45B and shareholders' equity of $11.66B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.06B, but capital expenditures of $3.13B resulted in free cash flow of -$1.07B. The company also distributed $633.0M in dividends in FY2025.

AWK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $134.94, American Water Works trades at a trailing P/E of 23.4x and a forward P/E of 20.0x, both above the median of its S&P 500 Utilities peers of 20.9x and 16.0x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 5.1x and EV/EBITDA of 14.0x also compare to peer medians of 2.9x and 12.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned -3.2% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of -12.3% trails the index's 83.0% gain.

AWK key metrics →

AWK dividend

American Water Works has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years, yielding 2.65% based on an annual forward dividend of $3.58. The company's payout ratio is 59.4%, and dividends grew at an annualized rate of 8.6% over the past 5 years. Distributions are paid quarterly, with the last ex-dividend date on August 11, 2026.

AWK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $140.64 implies a 4.2% upside from the last close of $134.94. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $5.41B and EPS of $6.08, implying 7.9% EPS growth. Over the last 4 quarters, the company delivered 2 EPS beats. The next earnings date is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

AWK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $16.06B and a low current ratio of 0.52 as of June 30, 2026, indicate significant balance sheet leverage.
  • Gross margin declined from 60.3% in FY2024 to 43.3% in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow has remained negative across all five reported fiscal years, ending at -$1.07B in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AWK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AWK income statement, AWK balance sheet, AWK key metrics, AWK analyst forecast, AWK chart. See the AWK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AWK AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does American Water Works pay?

AWK pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $3.58 per share, representing a 2.65% dividend yield and a 59.4% payout ratio.

How much debt does American Water Works carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $16.06B in total debt and $191.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $15.87B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38.

What are analysts estimating for AWK in FY2026?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $5.41B and EPS of $6.08, which represents an estimated EPS growth rate of 7.9%.

How does AWK's valuation compare to sector peers?

AWK trades at a trailing P/E of 23.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 14.0x, both higher than the median of its S&P 500 Utilities peers of 20.9x and 12.2x.

More Utilities AI stock analysis