Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: OXSQAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

OXSQ AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) is a closed-end business development company focused on private equity and mezzanine debt investments. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $39.0M in revenue alongside a net loss resulting in an EPS of -$0.43. Its forward dividend yield stands at 32.06%, while forward price-to-earnings is 5.6x.

Market cap
$141.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$39.0M
P/E
—
fwd 5.6x
1Y return
-7.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1.75
33.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company offers an annualized forward dividend yield of 32.06% with a monthly payout structure and 23 consecutive years of distributions.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.6x, below the median of 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers.
  • The consensus mean analyst price target of $1.75 indicates potential upside of 33.6% from the closing price of $1.31.

Bear case

  • In FY2025, the company posted negative revenue of -$5.0M and a net loss of -$18.7M.
  • The stock has delivered a 5-year return of -24.4%, lagging behind the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
  • Total debt stood at $152.1M as of June 30, 2026, exceeding cash and short-term investments of $34.6M.

What Oxford Square Capital does

Oxford Square Capital Corp., founded in 2003 and based in Greenwich, Connecticut, operates as a closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. The firm specializes in private equity and mezzanine investments, targeting companies with annual revenues under $200 million and enterprise values below $300 million. It invests between $5 million and $30 million per transaction across senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred and common stock, and syndicated bank loans. Its portfolio places a significant emphasis on technology-related industries, including computer software, internet services, telecommunications, semiconductors, and medical device technology, seeking both income generation and capital appreciation.

Growth and profitability

Oxford Square Capital's financial performance has shown considerable variance across fiscal years. In FY2024, revenue reached $42.7M with net income of $5.9M and an operating margin of 95.0%. However, in FY2025, revenue dropped to -$5.0M, reflecting a decline of 111.7%, alongside net income of -$18.7M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $39.0M, but profit margin was -93.7% with an EPS of -$0.43. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 1.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 32.8%.

OXSQ income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Oxford Square Capital held $34.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $152.1M, resulting in net debt of $117.5M. Total assets were $290.6M against shareholders' equity of $135.0M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13 and a current ratio of 226.06. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow and free cash flow of $18.3M while paying out $31.3M in dividends. Over five years, the company's share count increased by 100.0%.

OXSQ balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at $1.31 as of October 16, 2026, Oxford Square Capital holds a market capitalization of $141.1M and an enterprise value of $258.6M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.6x, compared to the median of 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.6x, above the peer median of 3.2x, while EV to revenue is 83.6x. Over the past year, the stock returned -7.1%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of -24.4% lagged the index return of 83.0%.

OXSQ key metrics →

OXSQ dividend

Oxford Square Capital distributes a monthly dividend, with an annualized forward payout of $0.42 per share, representing a dividend yield of 32.06%. The payout ratio is 58.3%. While the company has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years, its annualized dividend growth over five years contracted by 7.3%. Its last ex-dividend date is recorded as December 17, 2026.

OXSQ dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 analyst holding a Hold rating, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $1.75, which sits 33.6% above the last close of $1.31. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $37.6M and an EPS of $0.19, representing an EPS decline of 36.7%. The firm has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

OXSQ forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings fell 32.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, highlighting ongoing income volatility.
  • Dividends paid in FY2025 totaled $31.3M, exceeding the $18.3M generated in free cash flow.
  • Dilution has been significant, with the company's share count increasing 100.0% over a 5-year span.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this OXSQ AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: OXSQ income statement, OXSQ balance sheet, OXSQ key metrics, OXSQ analyst forecast, OXSQ chart. See the OXSQ stock overview for the latest quote and news.

OXSQ AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Oxford Square Capital Corp. pay?

Oxford Square Capital pays a monthly dividend totaling an annualized $0.42 per share, which corresponds to a 32.06% dividend yield. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 23 years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -7.3%.

What are analysts forecasting for OXSQ?

The sole covering analyst maintains a Hold rating with a mean price target of $1.75, representing 33.6% upside from $1.31. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, estimated revenue is $37.6M with EPS projected at $0.19.

How much debt does Oxford Square Capital carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Oxford Square Capital carried $152.1M in total debt and $34.6M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $117.5M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.13.

When is Oxford Square Capital's next earnings report?

The company is scheduled to report earnings on November 3, 2026. In the prior 4 quarters, the firm beat EPS expectations 1 time.

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