State Street Corporation (STT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: STTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

STT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

State Street Corporation (STT) provides custody, administration, investment management, and operational services to institutional investors worldwide. For FY2025, the company generated $22.63B in revenue and $2.94B in net income. Over the trailing twelve months, STT posted $15.50B in revenue with a 34.6% operating margin and a 2.22% dividend yield.

Market cap
$45.52B
Revenue (TTM)
$15.50B
P/E
13.5x
fwd 11.9x
1Y return
50.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$193.30
16.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • State Street generated quarterly earnings growth of 32.7% and quarterly revenue growth of 13.3% for the period ending September 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.9x and a PEG ratio of 0.67, both below the S&P 500 Financial Services median forward P/E of 12.6x.
  • Capital return is supported by 43 consecutive years of dividend payments, an 8.4% 5-year annualized dividend growth rate, and a -24.9% reduction in share count over 5 years.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow has fluctuated significantly, shifting from -$13.21B in FY2024 to $5.35B in FY2025.
  • Revenue growth slowed to 3.0% in FY2025 after expanding by 19.6% in FY2024 and 34.4% in FY2023.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.42, pointing to higher price volatility than the broader equity market.

What State Street does

State Street Corporation provides financial products and services primarily to institutional investors. Its offerings span investment servicing, including custody, product accounting, daily pricing, administration, and master trust services. The company also delivers financial data management solutions, securities finance, securities lending, and foreign exchange capabilities. Through its portfolio management activities, State Street offers core and enhanced indexing, multi-asset solutions, active quantitative and fundamental capabilities, and alternative investments. It also provides risk analytics, trading services, and post-trade settlement services. Its client base includes mutual funds, collective investment funds, retirement plans, insurance companies, foundations, endowments, and investment managers.

Growth and profitability

State Street grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 13.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $12.03B in FY2021 to $13.67B in FY2022, $18.37B in FY2023, $21.97B in FY2024, and $22.63B in FY2025, which marked 3.0% annual growth. Net margin was 13.0% in FY2025, yielding net income of $2.94B and EPS of $10.32. Operating margin rose to 16.5% in FY2025 compared to 15.5% in FY2024. In the latest quarter ending September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 13.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 32.7%. Trailing twelve-month revenue totaled $15.50B with an operating margin of 34.6% and EPS of $12.24.

STT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of September 30, 2026, State Street held $78.80B in cash and short-term investments and total debt of $26.04B, resulting in net cash of $52.77B. Total assets stood at $403.34B against shareholders' equity of $28.71B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91 and a current ratio of 92.69. For FY2025, operating cash flow was $5.35B and free cash flow was $4.29B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $1.05B in capital expenditures, $1.31B in share buybacks, and $1.12B in dividends, contributing to a -24.9% share count change over five years.

STT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

State Street trades at a trailing P/E of 13.5x and a forward P/E of 11.9x, both below the S&P 500 Financial Services medians of 14.2x and 12.6x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.9x, compared to the peer median of 3.1x. The company has a market capitalization of $45.52B, a PEG ratio of 0.67, and a price-to-book ratio of 2.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 50.2%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, STT returned 109.1% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

STT key metrics →

STT dividend

State Street pays an annual forward dividend of $3.68 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.22% distributed quarterly. The dividend payout ratio stands at 21.6%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years, delivering an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.4%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 1, 2026.

STT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover State Street with 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $193.30 represents 16.6% upside from the last close of $165.72. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $13.80, up 34.0%, on revenue of $15.92B. For the following fiscal year, 15 analysts project EPS of $15.55 on revenue of $16.79B. STT has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

STT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow has shown wide annual dispersion, including -$14.14B in FY2024 and $4.29B in FY2025.
  • Total debt of $26.04B represents a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91 relative to $28.71B in shareholders' equity.
  • Consensus revenue estimates for FY2026 stand at $15.92B, which is below the $22.63B reported in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this STT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of State Street Corporation (STT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: STT income statement, STT balance sheet, STT key metrics, STT analyst forecast, STT chart. See the STT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

STT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is State Street's dividend yield and track record?

State Street offers a forward dividend yield of 2.22% with an annualized payment of $3.68 per share. It has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 21.6%.

How did State Street perform in its most recent quarter?

For the quarter ending September 30, 2026, State Street posted year-over-year revenue growth of 13.3%. Quarterly earnings increased 32.7% compared to the prior-year period.

What are analysts forecasting for STT stock?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $193.30, representing 16.6% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $165.72. The consensus consists of 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings.

How is State Street valued relative to its sector peers?

State Street trades at a forward P/E of 11.9x and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.9x. These compare to median multiples of 12.6x and 3.1x, respectively, for the S&P 500 Financial Services peer group.

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