T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TROWAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TROW AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) is a global investment management firm providing mutual funds and advisory services. In FY2025, the company generated $7.31B in revenue and $2.09B in net income, while delivering a 5.15% dividend yield. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 28.6% year-over-year against a net cash balance sheet of $2.80B.

Market cap
$21.54B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.59B
P/E
10.1x
fwd 10.2x
1Y return
3.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$105.92
4.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $2.80B in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.
  • Earnings momentum accelerated in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly earnings growth of 28.6% year-over-year.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted relative to peers, trading at an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x versus the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 15.7x.

Bear case

  • Long-term equity returns have lagged the broader market, posting a 5-year return of -36.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 14.6%.
  • Wall Street sentiment is cautious, with 0 buy ratings and 4 combined Sell or Strong Sell ratings among 14 analysts.

What T. Rowe Price does

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager founded in 1937 and headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. The firm serves individuals, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutional investors worldwide, with offices in hubs like New York, London, Hong Kong, Tokyo, and Sydney. It specializes in launching and managing equity and fixed income mutual funds using a fundamental and quantitative bottom-up research strategy that incorporates environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. In addition to public market funds, the company participates in late-stage venture capital transactions, typically investing between $3 million and $5 million per venture.

Growth and profitability

T. Rowe Price generated $7.67B in revenue in FY2021 before market pressures reduced revenue to $6.49B in FY2022 and $6.46B in FY2023. Top-line performance rebounded to $7.09B in FY2024 and reached $7.31B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.3%. Operating margin stood at 48.4% in FY2021, settling at 29.9% in FY2025 alongside a net margin of 28.5% and diluted EPS of $9.72. Across the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $7.59B with a profit margin of 29.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 10.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 28.6%.

TROW income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, T. Rowe Price held $3.23B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $429.4M, resulting in a net cash position of $2.80B. The company maintained strong liquidity with a current ratio of 2.18 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 across $11.00B in shareholders equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.75B and free cash flow was $1.48B after $274.2M in capital expenditures. Capital returns during FY2025 included $1.14B in dividends paid and $620.9M in share buybacks, which helped reduce 5-year share count by 5.6%.

TROW balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

T. Rowe Price trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x and a forward P/E of 10.2x, below the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 14.2x and 12.6x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $19.50B implies an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x, compared to the peer median of 15.7x, and an EV/revenue of 2.6x. The stock has underperformed broader benchmarks, recording a 1-year return of 3.0% and a 5-year return of -36.6%, compared to the S&P 500 (SPY) gains of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.

TROW key metrics →

TROW dividend

T. Rowe Price offers an annual forward dividend of $5.20 per share, representing a dividend yield of 5.15% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 41 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.1%. Dividends are distributed quarterly, supported by a payout ratio of 50.0%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on September 15, 2026.

TROW dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 3 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations among 14 analysts. The mean price target is $105.92, indicating a 4.9% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $100.97. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.74B and EPS of $10.18, up 4.7%. The firm has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

TROW forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Analyst consensus expects revenue growth to decelerate to 1.5% in the fiscal year following FY2026.
  • Operating margin has contracted from 48.4% in FY2021 to 28.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • The stock displays higher volatility than the overall market, reflected by a beta of 1.47.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TROW AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TROW income statement, TROW balance sheet, TROW key metrics, TROW analyst forecast, TROW chart. See the TROW stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TROW AI stock analysis FAQ

What is T. Rowe Price's dividend yield and payout history?

T. Rowe Price has a dividend yield of 5.15% with an annual forward payout of $5.20 per share. It has paid dividends for 41 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 50.0%.

How does TROW's valuation compare to sector peers?

TROW trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x. Both metrics are lower than the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers, which are 14.2x and 15.7x, respectively.

What is T. Rowe Price's debt and cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $3.23B in cash and short-term investments against $429.4M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $2.80B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.

When is T. Rowe Price's next earnings report?

T. Rowe Price is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 29, 2026.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis