ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) AI Stock Analysis
ON AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchON Semiconductor Corporation produces intelligent power and sensing chips for automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Following revenue contractions of 14.2% in FY2024 and 15.3% in FY2025, quarterly revenue grew 9.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company maintains a solid liquidity profile with a current ratio of 3.46 and $3.86B in cash and short-term investments.
- Market cap
- $28.04B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.20B
- P/E
- 46.5x fwd 16.5x
- 1Y return
- 36.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $104.67 45.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly financial performance showed recovery in the period ended June 30, 2026, with revenue rising 9.2% and earnings expanding 36.6% year-over-year.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 16.5x, representing a discount to the median of 20.9x for its S&P 500 Technology peers.
- Consensus estimates project fiscal year 2027 revenue of $7.42B and EPS of $4.54, implying an earnings growth rate of 41.5%.
Bear case
- Annual revenue contracted for two consecutive fiscal years, declining 14.2% in FY2024 and 15.3% in FY2025 to $6.00B.
- Operating margin deteriorated sharply from 25.0% in FY2024 to 1.4% in FY2025, causing net income to sink to $121.0M.
- The stock trades 11.8% below its 200-day moving average and carries an elevated short interest of 10.6% of its float.
What onsemi does
ON Semiconductor Corporation delivers advanced sensing and power semiconductor solutions globally. The business operates across three segments: Power Solutions Group, Advanced Solutions Group, and Intelligent Sensing Group. Its technologies support automotive electrification, including electric vehicle range extension, rapid charging systems, and renewable energy infrastructure like solar power and industrial storage. The company's portfolio features analog, discrete, module, and integrated solutions for voltage regulation, circuit protection, signal conditioning, and power conversion. It also designs application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), radio frequency products, and provides foundry services. In addition, ON Semiconductor develops complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) image sensors and single photon detectors for automotive and industrial applications.
Growth and profitability
ON Semiconductor experienced revenue expansion from $6.74B in FY2021 to a peak of $8.33B in FY2022, before retreating to $8.25B in FY2023, $7.08B in FY2024, and $6.00B in FY2025. Over the five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%. Operating margin compressed from 28.3% in FY2022 to 1.4% in FY2025, while net margin fell to 2.0%, yielding FY2025 net income of $121.0M and diluted EPS of $2.35. Performance rebounded in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, where quarterly revenue rose 9.2% year-over-year and quarterly earnings climbed 36.6%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $6.20B with an operating margin of 19.5% and EPS of $1.55.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, ON Semiconductor held $3.86B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.48B, resulting in net debt of $618.2M. The company reported total assets of $13.49B and shareholders' equity of $7.22B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 and a current ratio of 3.46. In FY2025, the company generated $1.76B in operating cash flow and $1.42B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $341.2M and share buybacks of $1.38B, contributing to a 9.2% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $72.02 per share, ON Semiconductor has a market cap of $28.04B and an enterprise value of $29.27B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 46.5x, which is above the 30.8x median of its S&P 500 Technology peers. However, its forward P/E of 16.5x, price-to-sales of 4.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 18.8x trade below peer group medians of 20.9x, 6.3x, and 19.9x, respectively. The stock's PEG ratio is 0.16. Over the trailing 12 months, the stock returned 36.0% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), though its five-year return of 66.2% trails the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 13 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 16 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $104.67, representing a 45.3% upside from the last closing price of $72.02. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate revenue of $6.56B and EPS of $3.21, reflecting projected EPS growth of 36.4%. For the following fiscal year, 32 analysts forecast revenue of $7.42B and EPS of $4.54. ON Semiconductor beat EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock exhibits high price volatility with a beta of 2.05 and a 52-week trading range spanning from $44.56 to $134.92.
- The company carries $4.48B in total debt and $618.2M in net debt, leaving it reliant on sustained free cash flow generation.
- With a trailing P/E of 46.5x, equity valuation depends on delivering projected fiscal year 2026 EPS of $3.21.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ON AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ON income statement, ON balance sheet, ON key metrics, ON analyst forecast, ON chart. See the ON stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ON AI stock analysis FAQ
Does ON Semiconductor pay a dividend?
ON Semiconductor does not currently pay a dividend. Capital is instead deployed into operations, capital expenditures, and share repurchases, including $1.38B spent on share buybacks in FY2025.
What is ON Semiconductor's debt profile?
As of June 30, 2026, ON Semiconductor held $4.48B in total debt and $3.86B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $618.2M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.62, and its current ratio stood at 3.46.
What are analysts forecasting for ON Semiconductor's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of $3.21 on revenue of $6.56B. For the subsequent fiscal year, analysts expect EPS to reach $4.54 on revenue of $7.42B.
When does ON Semiconductor report earnings next?
The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on November 2, 2026.