Intel Corporation (INTC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: INTCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

INTC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Intel Corporation is a global semiconductor manufacturer offering computing platforms, accelerators, and foundry services. Annual revenue contracted from $79.02B in FY2021 to $52.85B in FY2025, though trailing twelve month revenue reached $57.03B with quarterly sales growing 25.4% year-over-year. The balance sheet reflects $29.73B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $50.54B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$474.96B
Revenue (TTM)
$57.03B
P/E
—
fwd 63.3x
1Y return
143.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$118.05
31.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve month revenue reached $57.03B supported by a 25.4% year-over-year revenue increase in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst estimates model a 263.8% earnings rebound to $1.53 EPS in FY2026, backed by 4 consecutive quarterly earnings beats.
  • The consensus analyst price target of $118.05 points to a potential 31.4% premium over the recent closing price of $89.85.

Bear case

  • Annual free cash flow has remained negative for four consecutive years, including -$4.95B in FY2025 and -$15.66B in FY2024.
  • The forward P/E ratio of 63.3x stands well above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers at 25.1x.
  • Share count has expanded by 24.6% over five years, supported by $14.40B in share issuance during FY2025.

What Intel does

Intel Corporation designs, develops, and distributes computing and associated technologies across several operational segments, including the Client Computing Group, Data Center and AI, Network and Edge, Mobileye, Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics, and Intel Foundry Services. Its platform solutions include central processing units, chipsets, system-on-chip packages, accelerators, connectivity products, and memory and storage. Intel also delivers autonomous driving systems utilizing computer vision, mapping, and active sensors. Its components serve original equipment manufacturers, cloud service providers, and industrial clients worldwide.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Intel's revenue contracted from $79.02B to $52.85B, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -7.5%. Operating margins fell from 24.6% in FY2021 to -4.2% in FY2025, while net income shifted from $19.87B to -$267.0M over the same timeframe. Free cash flow was -$4.95B in FY2025 following -$15.66B in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $57.03B with an operating margin of 12.2% and EPS of -$2.12. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 25.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 71.7%.

INTC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Intel held $29.73B in cash and short-term investments against $50.54B in total debt, leaving net debt at $20.81B. Shareholders' equity totaled $87.54B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58 and a current ratio of 1.60. Operating cash flow stood at $9.70B in FY2025, while capital expenditures reached $14.65B. To fund ongoing operations and investments, Intel recorded $14.40B in share issuance in FY2025, with total share count rising 24.6% over five years.

INTC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Intel trades at a forward P/E of 63.3x, compared to 25.1x for the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA is 182.0x, above the peer median of 30.6x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 8.3x, below the peer median of 12.4x. The company's enterprise value is $668.89B against a market capitalization of $474.96B. Over the past 12 months, Intel returned 143.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year timeframe, the stock gained 79.1%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

INTC key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 14 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 32 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The consensus mean price target is $118.05, representing 31.4% upside compared to the last close of $89.85. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $63.17B and EPS of $1.53, an estimated growth rate of 263.8%. Intel has exceeded earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 29, 2026.

INTC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Intel carries $50.54B in total debt and $20.81B in net debt against an operating cash flow of $9.70B.
  • Capital expenditures of $14.65B in FY2025 continue to place demands on internal liquidity and cash generation.
  • Stock price volatility remains elevated, as reflected by a beta of 2.23 and a 52-week range between $32.89 and $142.35.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this INTC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Intel Corporation (INTC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: INTC income statement, INTC balance sheet, INTC key metrics, INTC analyst forecast, INTC chart. See the INTC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

INTC AI stock analysis FAQ

What were Intel's revenue and earnings in FY2025?

Intel reported revenue of $52.85B and net income of -$267.0M in FY2025, alongside diluted EPS of $0.41.

Does Intel pay a dividend?

The provided data does not report any dividend yield or payout figures for Intel.

How does Intel's valuation compare to technology peers?

Intel's forward P/E of 63.3x is higher than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers at 25.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 8.3x is lower than the peer median of 12.4x.

When is Intel's next earnings report?

Intel's next scheduled earnings date is October 29, 2026.

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