Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) AI Stock Analysis
TXN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTexas Instruments Incorporated is a global semiconductor manufacturer operating in Analog and Embedded Processing. Revenue rebounded to $17.68B in FY2025, alongside $19.45B in trailing twelve-month revenue and a 31.1% net profit margin. TXN stock returned 61.6% over the past year, closing at $276.48 on October 16, 2026.
- Market cap
- $252.49B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $19.45B
- P/E
- 42.1x fwd 27.5x
- 1Y return
- 61.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $324.71 17.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin is 42.6%, above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers at 30.4%.
- Consensus estimates project current fiscal year EPS to grow 56.2% to $8.51 on revenue of $21.93B.
- The mean analyst price target of $324.71 represents a 17.4% upside to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $276.48.
Bear case
- The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 86.8%, while FY2025 free cash flow of $2.60B was below the $5.00B paid in dividends.
- Gross margin declined from 67.5% in FY2021 to 57.0% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 48.8% to 34.1%.
- Forward P/E of 27.5x represents a premium over the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers at 25.1x.
What Texas Instruments does
Texas Instruments Incorporated is a global semiconductor designer and manufacturer headquartered in Dallas, Texas. The company operates primarily through two segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog segment offers power management products such as battery management, regulators, and converters, alongside signal chain products like amplifiers and data converters. The Embedded Processing segment provides microcontrollers, digital signal processors, and applications processors for industrial automation, automotive electronics, personal electronics, telecommunications, enterprise systems, and educational calculators. The company also produces Digital Light Processing (DLP) products and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), distributing its products via direct sales, distributors, and online channels.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Texas Instruments saw revenue rise from $18.34B to $20.03B in FY2022, decline to $15.64B in FY2024, and recover to $17.68B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.1%. Operating margins shifted from 48.8% in FY2021 down to 34.1% in FY2025, while gross margin moved from 67.5% to 57.0%. FY2025 net income reached $5.00B with an EPS of $5.53. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $19.45B, with an operating margin of 42.6% and EPS of $6.57. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 22.8% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 51.8% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Texas Instruments held $7.00B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.05B, resulting in net debt of $7.05B. Shareholders' equity was $18.01B, with total assets of $35.88B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 and a current ratio of 4.86. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $7.15B and free cash flow was $2.60B. The company deployed cash toward $4.55B in capital expenditures, $5.00B in dividends paid, and $1.48B in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At $276.48, Texas Instruments trades at a trailing P/E of 42.1x, compared to 43.3x for the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers. Its forward P/E stands at 27.5x, above the peer median of 25.1x. The company's EV/EBITDA is 26.5x, below the peer median of 32.8x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 13.0x versus the peer median of 11.9x. TXN shares gained 61.6% over the trailing 12 months, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but returned 63.8% over five years compared to 83.0% for the index.
TXN dividend
Texas Instruments pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $6.08 per share, representing a 2.20% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 86.8%. The company has paid dividends for 55 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 8.1%. The last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 17 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 15 Hold, 0 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings on TXN. The mean price target is $324.71, which is 17.4% above the last close of $276.48. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $21.93B and EPS of $8.51, representing 56.2% EPS growth. Texas Instruments beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 21, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $14.05B against $7.00B in cash leaves net debt at $7.05B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78.
- Annual revenue has experienced cyclical contractions, including a 12.5% drop in FY2023 and a 10.7% drop in FY2024.
- Quarterly revenue growth for the latest quarter was 22.8%, trailing the peer median quarterly revenue growth of 31.9%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TXN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TXN income statement, TXN balance sheet, TXN key metrics, TXN analyst forecast, TXN chart. See the TXN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TXN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Texas Instruments' current dividend yield and payout ratio?
Texas Instruments offers a forward dividend yield of 2.20% based on an annual forward dividend of $6.08 per share. Its dividend payout ratio is 86.8%.
What are analysts forecasting for TXN earnings in FY2026?
Analysts forecast EPS of $8.51 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, which represents an estimated year-over-year EPS increase of 56.2% on projected revenue of $21.93B.
How does Texas Instruments' valuation compare to its peers?
TXN has a forward P/E of 27.5x and a price-to-sales multiple of 13.0x, compared to sector peer medians of 25.1x and 11.9x, respectively. However, its EV/EBITDA of 26.5x is lower than the peer median of 32.8x.
When is Texas Instruments' next earnings release date?
Texas Instruments is scheduled to release its next earnings report on October 21, 2026.