NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) AI Stock Analysis
NVDA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) provides graphics, computing, and networking platforms for data centers, gaming, and automotive applications. In FY2026, the company generated $215.94B in revenue and $120.07B in net income, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 66.9%. As of July 31, 2026, NVIDIA held $60.51B in net cash with a current ratio of 4.59.
- Market cap
- $5.17T
- Revenue (TTM)
- $302.97B
- P/E
- 27.1x fwd 24.9x
- 1Y return
- 18.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $328.72 53.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 105.9% year-over-year in the period ended July 31, 2026, supported by trailing twelve month operating margins of 66.2%.
- NVIDIA generated $96.68B in free cash flow during FY2026 while building a net cash balance of $60.51B.
- Covering analysts project next fiscal year revenue of $692.21B and EPS of $15.91, representing estimated revenue growth of 68.2%.
Bear case
- NVIDIA trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 17.1x, which is higher than the 11.9x median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers.
- The stock has a beta of 2.22, indicating greater price volatility than the broader equity market.
- Annual gross margin contracted from 75.0% in FY2025 to 71.1% in FY2026.
What NVIDIA does
NVIDIA Corporation provides solutions for graphics, computing, and networking across global markets including the United States, Taiwan, and China. The company operates through two segments: Graphics and Compute & Networking. The Graphics segment produces GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs, GeForce NOW streaming, Quadro/NVIDIA RTX workstation graphics, vGPU software for virtual computing, and Omniverse software for 3D designs. The Compute & Networking segment provides Data Center platforms for artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, and accelerated computing. It also integrates Mellanox networking solutions, develops Jetson robotics platforms, automotive cockpit and autonomous driving platforms, cryptocurrency mining processors, and enterprise software solutions.
Growth and profitability
NVIDIA grew annual revenue from $26.91B in FY2022 to $215.94B in FY2026, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 66.9%. Annual net income increased from $9.75B in FY2022 to $120.07B in FY2026, bringing net margin from 36.2% to 55.6%. In FY2026, gross margin was 71.1% and operating margin was 60.4%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $302.97B with an operating margin of 66.2% and EPS of $7.91. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 105.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 127.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, NVIDIA held $99.37B in cash and short-term investments and $38.86B in total debt, resulting in net cash of $60.51B. Total assets stood at $320.27B and shareholders' equity was $228.98B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 and a current ratio of 4.59. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $102.72B and free cash flow was $96.68B. Capital expenditures were $6.04B, while the company allocated $40.09B to share buybacks and $974.0M to dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
NVIDIA has a market capitalization of $5.17T and an enterprise value of $5.42T. Its trailing P/E of 27.1x sits below the 43.3x median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers, while its forward P/E of 24.9x compares to the peer median of 25.7x. The price-to-sales ratio is 17.1x, above the peer median of 11.9x, and its EV-to-EBITDA ratio is 23.2x versus the peer median of 32.8x. Over the past year, NVDA gained 18.1% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 883.8% exceeded the index return of 83.0%.
NVDA dividend
NVIDIA pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.47%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 15 years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 20.1%. Its payout ratio was 7.4%, and the last ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage includes 49 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $328.72, which is 53.5% above the October 16, 2026 close of $214.13. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $411.65B and EPS of $9.31, representing 95.2% earnings growth. NVIDIA beat EPS estimates in 4 of its last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 18, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A beta of 2.22 highlights substantial sensitivity to broader equity market downturns.
- Maintaining high profitability remains critical after annual operating margin declined from 62.4% in FY2025 to 60.4% in FY2026.
- Total debt of $38.86B represents an ongoing obligation against cash and short-term investments of $99.37B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NVDA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NVDA income statement, NVDA balance sheet, NVDA key metrics, NVDA analyst forecast, NVDA chart. See the NVDA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NVDA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is NVIDIA's revenue growth rate?
NVIDIA posted a 5-year revenue CAGR of 66.9% through FY2026, when revenue reached $215.94B. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 105.9% year-over-year.
What are analysts' price targets for NVDA?
The mean analyst price target is $328.72, which is 53.5% above the last closing price of $214.13. The rating breakdown includes 49 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations.
Does NVIDIA pay a dividend?
Yes, NVIDIA pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.00 annually per share, with a dividend yield of 0.47%. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 7.4%.
When is NVIDIA's next earnings report?
NVIDIA is scheduled to report earnings on November 18, 2026. The company has beaten EPS consensus estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters.