Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) AI Stock Analysis

Established in 1982 and headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, Ollie's operates as a retailer specializing in brand name merchandise. The company offers products including housewares, bed and bath essentials, food items, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, toys, and electronics. Catering to value-conscious shoppers under brands such as Ollie's and Good Stuff Cheap, it operates a nationwide store network supported by 6,500 employees. Initiatives like the Ollie's Army loyalty program reinforce customer engagement while offering substantial savings on well-known brands.

Ollie's revenue expanded from $1.75B in FY2022 to $2.65B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.9%. Following a 3.1% decline in FY2022, annual revenue grew 4.2% in FY2023, 15.1% in FY2024, 8.0% in FY2025, and 16.6% in FY2026. Operating margin fluctuated from 11.7% in FY2022 down to 7.2% in FY2023, before recovering to 10.8% in FY2024, 11.0% in FY2025, and 12.2% in FY2026. Net income reached $240.6M in FY2026 with a net margin of 9.1% and EPS of $3.88. For the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 43.4% year-over-year.

As of July 31, 2026, Ollie's held $187.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $725.6M, resulting in net debt of $538.1M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.90B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, while the current ratio was 2.23. In FY2026, the company generated $296.5M in operating cash flow and $194.7M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $101.9M, and share buybacks absorbed $73.8M, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -6.3%.

At a last close of $93.18 on October 16, 2026, Ollie's had a market capitalization of $5.54B and an enterprise value of $5.45B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.8x and a forward P/E of 19.2x, above the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its price-to-sales of 2.0x and EV to EBITDA of 12.9x also exceed peer medians of 0.7x and 11.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 24.3%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.

Wall Street coverage consists of 10 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $101.60 sits 9.0% above the last close of $93.18. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.61 on revenue of $2.93B, representing EPS growth of 19.4%. The company exceeded EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 8, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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