Dollar General Corporation (DG) AI Stock Analysis
DG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDollar General Corporation (DG) is a discount retailer operating across southern, southwestern, Midwestern, and eastern regions of the United States. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $43.64B in revenue with an operating margin of 6.8% and diluted EPS of $7.70. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 33.3% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $29.64B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $43.64B
- P/E
- 17.4x fwd 15.3x
- 1Y return
- 31.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $142.83 6.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings surged 33.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended July 31, 2026, alongside 5.2% quarterly revenue growth.
- The company generated strong free cash flow of $2.39B in FY2026, up from $1.69B in FY2025.
- Dollar General trades at an EV/EBITDA of 11.6x and a trailing P/E of 17.4x, both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers of 14.8x and 23.5x.
Bear case
- Net income remains well below historical levels, standing at $1.51B in FY2026 compared to $2.42B achieved in FY2023.
- The company carries significant financial leverage, with total debt of $15.61B and net debt of $14.02B as of July 31, 2026.
- Long-term shareholders have experienced negative returns, with a 5-year return of -31.1% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What Dollar General does
Dollar General Corporation is a discount retailer operating across the southern, southwestern, Midwestern, and eastern United States. Headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, the company offers a broad merchandise assortment centered on consumables, including paper products, cleaning supplies, packaged foods, perishables, beverages, snacks, health and beauty items, pet supplies, and tobacco. It also sells seasonal goods such as holiday decorations, toys, and gardening supplies, along with home products like kitchenware and storage solutions. In addition, the retailer provides everyday apparel, socks, underwear, and shoes for all ages, focusing on value and convenience for shoppers across its markets.
Growth and profitability
Dollar General's revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 4.8% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue grew from $34.22B in FY2022 to $42.72B in FY2026, delivering 5.2% revenue growth in FY2026. However, net income fell from $2.40B in FY2022 to $1.13B in FY2025 before recovering to $1.51B in FY2026, while gross margin moved from 31.6% to 30.7%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $43.64B with a profit margin of 3.9% and an operating margin of 6.8%. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 33.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Dollar General held $1.59B in cash and short-term investments against $15.61B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $14.02B. Total assets stood at $32.17B and shareholders' equity was $9.29B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.68 and a current ratio of 1.21. In FY2026, the company generated $3.63B in operating cash flow and $2.39B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $1.24B and dividends paid were $519.5M, while share count fell 5.4% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $134.36 on October 16, 2026, Dollar General trades at a market cap of $29.64B and an enterprise value of $40.79B. Its trailing P/E of 17.4x sits below the 23.5x median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers, while its forward P/E of 15.3x aligns closely with the peer median of 15.2x. The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 11.6x, compared to the peer median of 14.8x. Over the past year, Dollar General delivered a 31.8% return, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -31.1% trails the S&P 500 5-year gain of 83.0%.
DG dividend
Dollar General pays a forward annual dividend of $2.36 per share, yielding 1.76% with a payout ratio of 31.7%. The company has paid quarterly dividends for 12 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 11.0%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 6, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts maintain 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 17 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on Dollar General. The mean price target is $142.83, implying a 6.3% upside compared to the last close of $134.36. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $44.55B and EPS of $7.91, representing 15.4% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for December 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin of 6.8% over the trailing twelve months remains well below the 16.9% median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers.
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.68 highlights leverage risks if operating cash flow decreases from its FY2026 level of $3.63B.
- Next fiscal year EPS growth is projected to slow to 5.9%, down from 15.4% estimated for the current fiscal year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Dollar General Corporation (DG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DG income statement, DG balance sheet, DG key metrics, DG analyst forecast, DG chart. See the DG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Dollar General's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Dollar General offers a forward annual dividend of $2.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.76%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, backed by a payout ratio of 31.7%.
When does Dollar General report its next earnings?
Dollar General is scheduled to release its next earnings report on December 3, 2026. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the past 4 quarters.
How do analysts view Dollar General stock?
Analysts hold 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 17 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on the stock. Their mean price target of $142.83 indicates a 6.3% upside over the last close of $134.36.
How much debt does Dollar General have?
As of July 31, 2026, Dollar General reported total debt of $15.61B and cash and short-term investments of $1.59B, leading to net debt of $14.02B.