Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) AI Stock Analysis
OCTV AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOctave Intelligence plc (OCTV) is an application software company providing operational intelligence across critical infrastructure and industrial environments. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $1.64B and free cash flow of $456.3M. However, performance slowed in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, with quarterly revenue contracting 3.6% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $5.38B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.63B
- P/E
- 17.4x fwd 13.9x
- 1Y return
- — S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $22.93 14.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow expanded to $456.3M in FY2025, supported by modest capital expenditures of $9.5M.
- Octave trades at a forward P/E of 13.9x, a discount to the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 18.8x.
- The balance sheet maintains low financial leverage, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and shareholders' equity of $5.08B.
Bear case
- In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.6% and quarterly earnings declined 20.3% year-over-year.
- Annual revenue growth slowed consecutively from 12.6% in FY2023 to 4.1% in FY2024 and 2.1% in FY2025.
- Gross margin dropped from 73.0% in FY2024 to 65.6% in FY2025, alongside a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -111.3%.
What Octave Intelligence does
Octave Intelligence plc provides software solutions that help organizations manage environments where they design, build, operate, and protect assets, people, and critical infrastructure. Its platform connects data, events, and workflows across complex operational settings, applying context-aware intelligence to help customers evaluate conditions and anticipate outcomes. The company serves utilities, data centers, heavy construction, industrial process industries, public safety agencies, transportation networks, and discrete manufacturing. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Madison, Alabama, Octave Intelligence operates across the Americas, EMEA, and the Asia Pacific region, employing approximately 7,200 people.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue rose from $1.37B in FY2022 to $1.54B in FY2023, $1.60B in FY2024, and $1.64B in FY2025, though annual revenue growth decelerated to 2.1% in FY2025. Gross margin declined to 65.6% in FY2025 from 73.0% in FY2024, while net income fell to $248.1M from $309.1M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.63B with an operating margin of 16.7% and a profit margin of -111.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.6% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings declined 20.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Octave Intelligence held $304.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $697.8M, yielding net debt of $393.6M. Shareholders' equity stood at $5.08B against total assets of $6.69B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and a current ratio of 1.03. In FY2025, the company generated $465.9M in operating cash flow while allocating $9.5M to capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of $456.3M.
Valuation and performance
Octave Intelligence trades at a trailing P/E of 17.4x and a forward P/E of 13.9x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 10.8x is also below the peer median of 16.6x, though its price-to-sales ratio of 3.3x trades at a premium to the peer median of 2.8x. At a market cap of $5.38B, shares closed at $20.04 on October 16, 2026, within a 52-week range of $15.41 to $30.00, while the S&P 500 gained 16.8% over the past year.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 7 analysts, comprising 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $22.93 implies an upside of 14.4% relative to the last close of $20.04. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $1.65B and EPS of $1.44. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue of $1.73B and EPS of $1.50. The next earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue growth of -3.6% trails the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 11.6%.
- Net debt reached $393.6M as of June 30, 2026, as total debt of $697.8M exceeded cash and short-term investments of $304.1M.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin softened to 16.7%, down from 20.2% achieved in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this OCTV AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: OCTV income statement, OCTV balance sheet, OCTV key metrics, OCTV analyst forecast, OCTV chart. See the OCTV stock overview for the latest quote and news.
OCTV AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Octave Intelligence's stock ticker and exchange?
Octave Intelligence plc trades under the ticker symbol OCTV on the NASDAQ exchange.
What is the consensus price target for OCTV stock?
The mean analyst price target is $22.93, which represents a 14.4% premium over the last close of $20.04.
How did Octave Intelligence perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, Octave reported revenue of $1.64B, net income of $248.1M, and free cash flow of $456.3M.
When is Octave Intelligence's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 12, 2026.