Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: OBTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

OBT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) is a regional commercial banking and wealth management institution with a market capitalization of $498.6M. In FY2025, the company grew revenue 10.5% to $158.1M and expanded net income to $41.6M. Over the past year, OBT shares advanced 60.8% and trade at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 10.4x.

Market cap
$498.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$122.7M
P/E
10.4x
1Y return
60.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$43.33
16.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Orange County Bancorp achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.7% through FY2025, ending that year with net income of $41.6M.
  • The balance sheet held $730.8M in cash and short-term investments against $34.6M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.4x, lower than the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x, with 4 consecutive quarters of EPS beats.

Bear case

  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.0% year-over-year.
  • At 4.1x, the company's price-to-sales ratio trades above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 3.2x.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, reflected in an 18.6% increase in the share count over 5 years.

What Orange County Bancorp does

Founded in 1892 and based in Middletown, New York, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. provides commercial and consumer banking services alongside trust and wealth management solutions. It serves small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals. Deposit products include interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. Its lending portfolio covers commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate construction loans, residential real estate loans, home equity loans, and consumer loans. In addition, the company provides asset management, financial planning, traditional trust and administration, and wealth management services.

Growth and profitability

Orange County Bancorp expanded revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 19.7% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $76.0M in FY2021 to $96.0M in FY2022, $131.1M in FY2023, $143.1M in FY2024, and $158.1M in FY2025. Net income increased from $21.3M in FY2021 to $41.6M in FY2025, supported by a net margin of 26.3% and EPS of $3.32. Operating margin improved from 24.3% in FY2024 to 32.6% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $122.7M with an operating margin of 40.9% and EPS of $3.56. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 5.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 17.0%.

OBT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Orange County Bancorp maintained $730.8M in cash and short-term investments against $34.6M in total debt, creating net cash of $696.2M. Total assets reached $2.80B, with shareholders' equity of $306.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11. For FY2025, the bank generated $43.8M in operating cash flow and $41.3M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $2.5M, while capital allocation included $7.1M paid in dividends and $158,000 allocated to share buybacks.

OBT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At the last close of $37.19 on October 16, 2026, Orange County Bancorp had an enterprise value of $198.3M and a price-to-book ratio of 1.6x. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.4x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x. Its price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x is higher than the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock gained 60.8%, exceeding the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 135.9% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

OBT key metrics →

OBT dividend

Orange County Bancorp pays a forward annual dividend of $0.72 per share, yielding 1.94% with a payout ratio of 20.3%. The dividend is paid quarterly, and the last ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years, producing a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.3%.

OBT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover the stock with 2 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and 0 Hold or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $43.33, which sits 16.5% above the last close of $37.19. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $131.9M and EPS of $3.45. Orange County Bancorp has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

OBT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue contracted 5.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, signaling near-term top-line headwinds.
  • Consensus estimates forecast FY2026 annual revenue of $131.9M, which is lower than the $158.1M reported in FY2025.
  • The bank's current ratio was 0.31 as of June 30, 2026, driven by short-term deposit obligations typical of regional bank balance sheets.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this OBT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: OBT income statement, OBT balance sheet, OBT key metrics, OBT analyst forecast, OBT chart. See the OBT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

OBT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Orange County Bancorp's dividend yield and track record?

The stock carries a forward annual dividend of $0.72, equal to a 1.94% yield with a payout ratio of 20.3%. Orange County Bancorp has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years and delivered a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.3%.

How does OBT's valuation compare to its sector peers?

OBT trades at a trailing P/E of 10.4x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.1x, which is above the peer median of 3.2x.

What are analysts forecasting for Orange County Bancorp's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.45 on revenue of $131.9M. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts estimate EPS of $3.75 on revenue of $142.1M.

How has OBT stock performed relative to the S&P 500?

OBT gained 60.8% over the past year and 135.9% over five years as of October 16, 2026. Over the same periods, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% and 83.0%, respectively.

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