New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC) AI Stock Analysis
NMFC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNew Mountain Finance Corporation is a business development company focused on middle-market lending and private equity buyouts across defensive growth sectors. In FY2025, its revenue declined 58.0% to $138.6M while net income totaled $16.5M. The stock features a forward dividend yield of 16.91% and trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.7x.
- Market cap
- $636.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $288.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 6.8x
- 1Y return
- -15.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $8.29 23.0% vs last close
Bull case
- The company provides a forward dividend yield of 16.91% backed by 16 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- NMFC trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.7x and a forward P/E of 6.8x, both below the peer medians.
- Analysts project a mean price target of $8.29, implying 23.0% upside from the last closing price of $6.74.
Bear case
- Annual revenue dropped 58.0% in FY2025 to $138.6M, while trailing twelve month EPS registered at -$0.48.
- Total debt reached $1.35B as of June 30, 2026, pushing the debt-to-equity ratio to 1.31 with a current ratio of 0.92.
- The company achieved 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and no analysts recommend a Buy or Strong Buy rating.
What New Mountain Finance does
New Mountain Finance Corporation operates as a business development company specializing in private equity buyouts and lending to middle-market firms across defensive growth industries. Founded on direct investment principles, the fund invests in debt securities across the capital structure, including first and second lien debt, unsecured notes, mezzanine securities, and select equity stakes. It targets sectors such as energy, specialty chemicals, commercial printing, healthcare services, and telecommunications within the United States. NMFC typically invests between $10 million and $50 million per transaction, with capacity up to $125 million, using primary originations and open-market secondary purchases.
Growth and profitability
NMFC generated revenue of $138.6M in FY2025, down 58.0% from $329.8M in FY2024 and $342.0M in FY2023. Net income declined from $113.4M in FY2024 to $16.5M in FY2025, with net margin narrowing from 34.4% to 11.9%. Operating margin also contracted to 12.6% in FY2025 compared to 76.9% in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $288.2M with a profit margin of -16.8% and diluted EPS of -$0.48. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 26.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth increased by 157.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, New Mountain Finance Corporation held $64.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.35B, resulting in net debt of $1.28B. Total assets stood at $2.42B and shareholders' equity was $1.03B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31 and a current ratio of 0.92. During FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $379.0M. The company allocated capital by paying $135.7M in dividends and executing $52.0M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $6.74, NMFC carries a market capitalization of $636.6M and an enterprise value of $1.93B. Its forward P/E ratio of 6.8x trades below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 10.8x. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 2.2x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 0.7x. Over the past year, NMFC returned -15.0%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 13.7% against an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
NMFC dividend
NMFC pays an annual forward dividend of $1.14 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 16.91%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 16 years, recording a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 0.6%. Its payout ratio stands at 3.1%, and its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Hold ratings and 1 Sell rating, with zero Buy or Strong Buy recommendations. The mean price target is $8.29, representing 23.0% upside versus the last close of $6.74. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.09 on revenue of $252.6M. For the next fiscal year, consensus models EPS of $1.05 and revenue of $245.3M across 7 analysts. NMFC posted 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's net debt stands at $1.28B against cash and short-term investments of only $64.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 26.4% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing top-line contraction.
- Trailing twelve month profit margin was -16.8%, signaling operational and earnings pressures.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NMFC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NMFC income statement, NMFC balance sheet, NMFC key metrics, NMFC analyst forecast, NMFC chart. See the NMFC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NMFC AI stock analysis FAQ
Does New Mountain Finance Corporation pay a dividend?
Yes, NMFC pays an annual forward dividend of $1.14 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 16.91%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 16 years.
What is the analyst price target for NMFC stock?
Analysts have set a mean price target of $8.29 for NMFC, which reflects a 23.0% upside compared to its last close of $6.74. The coverage consists of 6 Hold ratings and 1 Sell rating.
How has NMFC performed compared to the broader market?
NMFC posted a 1-year return of -15.0% and a 5-year return of -13.7%. In comparison, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% over 1 year and 83.0% over 5 years.
What are analysts forecasting for NMFC's earnings and revenue?
For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.09 and revenue of $252.6M. For the next fiscal year, estimates expect EPS of $1.05 and revenue of $245.3M.