nCino, Inc. (NCNO) AI Stock Analysis
NCNO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchnCino, Inc. (NCNO) provides cloud-based software solutions, including the nCino Bank Operating System and SimpleNexus, for financial institutions. In FY2026, the company generated $594.8M in revenue and turned profitable with net income of $5.2M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $622.2M with an operating margin of 8.5%.
- Market cap
- $2.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $622.2M
- P/E
- 64.1x fwd 24.8x
- 1Y return
- -14.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $24.42 19.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue reached $594.8M in FY2026 with free cash flow rising to $82.6M, up from -$24.7M in FY2022.
- Quarterly earnings grew 147.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended July 31, 2026, supported by 4 consecutive EPS beats.
- The analyst mean price target of $24.42 implies 19.0% upside relative to the last closing price of $20.51.
Bear case
- Annual revenue growth decelerated from 49.1% in FY2023 to 10.0% in FY2026, with quarterly revenue growing 8.2% in the latest quarter.
- The stock trades at a premium valuation with a trailing P/E of 64.1x compared to the US-listed Technology peer median of 28.1x.
- Long-term share performance has lagged the broader market, falling 71.8% over 5 years while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
What nCino does
nCino, Inc. is a software-as-a-service provider delivering cloud applications to financial institutions globally. Its core offering is the nCino Bank Operating System, a cloud platform designed to digitalize and automate banking workflows such as client onboarding, loan life cycle management, deposit account opening, and regulatory compliance using data analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning. Its nCino IQ application suite provides operational automation and credit risk analysis tools. Additionally, its SimpleNexus suite enables collaboration among loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, and settlement agents. nCino serves global, enterprise, regional, and community banks, credit unions, new market entrants, and independent mortgage banks.
Growth and profitability
nCino expanded annual revenue from $273.9M in FY2022 to $594.8M in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.8%. Revenue growth slowed from 49.1% in FY2023 and 16.7% in FY2024 to 10.0% in FY2026. Gross margin widened modestly from 59.3% in FY2022 to 60.6% in FY2026. The company improved operating margin from -26.1% in FY2022 to 0.6% in FY2026, posting its first positive net income of $5.2M and EPS of $1.06. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 8.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 147.6%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $622.2M with a net profit margin of 5.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, nCino held $83.3M in cash and short-term investments against $338.6M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $255.3M. The current ratio stood at 0.85, while debt-to-equity was 0.36 on shareholders' equity of $929.8M. Total assets were $1.57B. In FY2026, the company generated $90.1M in operating cash flow and $82.6M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $7.5M, and share buybacks reached $125.1M.
Valuation and performance
At $20.51 per share, nCino has a market cap of $2.17B and an enterprise value of $2.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 64.1x and a forward P/E of 24.8x, both above the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales of 3.5x and EV/EBITDA of 24.8x also sit above peer medians of 2.8x and 16.6x. Over the past year, the stock declined 14.7%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and is down 71.8% over five years compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings include 4 Strong Buys, 6 Buys, and 4 Holds, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $24.42 represents 19.0% upside over the last close of $20.51. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts project revenue of $646.0M and EPS of $1.30, representing 21.6% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 14 analysts project revenue of $701.3M and EPS of $1.58. nCino beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is December 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest represents 19.1% of the float, indicating substantial market skepticism.
- Liquidity is constrained with a current ratio of 0.85 and net debt of $255.3M as of July 31, 2026.
- Share buybacks of $125.1M in FY2026 exceeded the $82.6M in free cash flow generated during the year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NCNO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of nCino, Inc. (NCNO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NCNO income statement, NCNO balance sheet, NCNO key metrics, NCNO analyst forecast, NCNO chart. See the NCNO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NCNO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is nCino's core business?
nCino provides cloud-based software to banks and financial institutions, primarily through the nCino Bank Operating System and SimpleNexus platforms for onboarding, loan management, and compliance.
Is nCino profitable?
Yes, nCino achieved net income of $5.2M in FY2026 and posted a trailing twelve-month profit margin of 5.4% with EPS of $0.32.
Does nCino pay a dividend?
No, nCino does not pay a dividend. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $7.5M in capital expenditures and $125.1M in share buybacks.
When is nCino's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for December 2, 2026.