National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) AI Stock Analysis
NBHC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNational Bank Holdings Corporation is a regional bank holding company operating NBH Bank across commercial, business, and consumer segments. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $583.9M and net income of $109.6M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.5%. It maintains a liquid balance sheet with $1.48B in net cash and offers a forward dividend yield of 3.38%.
- Market cap
- $1.68B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $452.3M
- P/E
- 15.9x fwd 13.8x
- 1Y return
- 9.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $44.00 16.0% vs last close
Bull case
- NBHC holds a net cash position of $1.48B with $1.82B in cash and short-term investments against modest debt of $347.2M.
- Analysts project earnings per share to grow 34.5% to $3.95 in the fiscal year ending in 2027.
- The stock offers a 3.38% dividend yield supported by 15 consecutive years of payments and an 8.4% 5-year annualized growth rate.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 34.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- NBHC trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x, above the 12.1x median for US-listed Financial Services peers.
- Total return over the past 5 years was 5.4%, lagging significantly behind the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What National Bank does
National Bank Holdings Corporation serves as the bank holding company for NBH Bank, providing banking products and financial services to commercial, business, and consumer clients across the United States. Established in 2009 and based in Greenwood Village, Colorado, the company offers deposit solutions including checking, savings, money market accounts, and fixed maturity time deposits. Lending operations focus on commercial and industrial loans, equipment financing, agriculture, government and non-profit loans, as well as owner-occupied and non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans covering office buildings, warehouses, and hospitality venues. It also provides Small Business Administration loans and treasury management solutions.
Growth and profitability
Over a five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue expanded at a compound annual growth rate of 10.5%. Annual revenue peaked at $594.3M in FY2024 before dipping 1.7% to $583.9M in FY2025, when net income totaled $109.6M and diluted EPS was $3.03. Operating margin held steady at 24.4% in FY2024 and FY2025, while gross margin was 69.2% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $452.3M with an operating margin of 28.6% and net profit margin of 21.8%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 22.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 34.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, National Bank Holdings held $1.82B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $347.2M, resulting in a net cash position of $1.48B. Total assets stood at $12.59B and shareholders' equity was $1.67B, supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 and a current ratio of 90.10. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $162.4M, producing $132.5M in free cash flow after $29.9M of capital expenditures. In FY2025, capital allocation included $46.1M in dividends paid and $15.2M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At $37.92 per share, NBHC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 15.9x and a forward P/E of 13.8x. Both multiples represent a premium to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which trade at 12.1x trailing earnings and 10.8x forward earnings. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 3.7x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.1x. Over the past year, NBHC shares gained 9.9% versus a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 5.4% trails the benchmark's 83.0% gain.
NBHC dividend
NBHC pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $1.28 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.38% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend has been paid for 15 consecutive years and reflects an annualized 5-year growth rate of 8.4%. The company's payout ratio stands at 42.0%, and its last ex-dividend date was August 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 analysts, consisting of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $44.00, representing a 16.0% upside relative to the last close of $37.92. Over the last 4 quarters, NBHC exceeded EPS estimates 2 times. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.94 on revenue of $533.0M. For FY2027, analysts expect EPS to expand 34.5% to $3.95 on revenue of $573.0M, with the next earnings announcement scheduled for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue contracted 1.7% in FY2025 to $583.9M, highlighting potential top-line headwinds.
- Trailing return on assets of 0.9% and return on equity of 6.5% point to moderate capital efficiency.
- The 5-year share count increased 24.0%, indicating past equity dilution.
- Earnings per share for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, are projected to decrease 4.1% to $2.94.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NBHC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NBHC income statement, NBHC balance sheet, NBHC key metrics, NBHC analyst forecast, NBHC chart. See the NBHC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NBHC AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does NBHC pay?
NBHC pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $1.28 per share, which equals a dividend yield of 3.38%. The payout ratio is 42.0%, and the dividend has been paid for 15 consecutive years.
What is the consensus analyst price target for NBHC?
The mean analyst price target is $44.00, which sits 16.0% above the last closing price of $37.92. The coverage consensus includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings.
How did NBHC perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, NBHC generated $583.9M in revenue, down 1.7% year-over-year, and net income of $109.6M with EPS of $3.03. Operating cash flow reached $162.4M, resulting in free cash flow of $132.5M.
What is NBHC's balance sheet and debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.82B in cash and short-term investments against $347.2M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $1.48B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.21.