NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) AI Stock Analysis
NATL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) provides self-directed banking solutions and managed infrastructure services globally. In FY2025, the company generated $4.35B in revenue and $162.0M in net income, while trailing twelve months operating margin reached 15.0%. NATL carries $2.94B in total debt and trades at a forward P/E of 7.4x.
- Market cap
- $3.39B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.42B
- P/E
- 17.8x fwd 7.4x
- 1Y return
- 24.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $50.20 9.3% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 65.4% year-over-year.
- NATL trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 7.6x, well below the US-listed Technology peer median of 16.6x.
- Free cash flow reached $239.0M in FY2025 alongside a trailing twelve months return on equity of 48.5%.
Bear case
- Total debt of $2.94B far exceeds cash and short-term investments of $429.0M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.33.
- Revenue growth decelerated to 0.9% in FY2025 and stood at 0.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter.
- Wall Street sentiment is neutral, with all 3 covering analysts issuing Hold recommendations.
What NCR Atleos does
NCR Atleos Corporation operates as a financial technology firm structured into three core segments: Self-Service Banking, Payments and Network, and Telecommunications and Technology. The company delivers self-directed banking solutions utilizing automated and interactive teller machine (ATM) technology, offering hardware, software, services, and access to the Allpoint network. In addition to self-service banking solutions, NCR Atleos Corporation provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients through direct partnerships with communications service providers and technology manufacturers. Its clientele includes financial institutions, merchants, manufacturers, retailers, and consumers across the United States, Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded from $3.55B to $4.35B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.8%. Annual revenue grew 18.7% in FY2021, 16.4% in FY2022, 1.5% in FY2023, 3.0% in FY2024, and 0.9% in FY2025. Operating margin improved from 7.0% in FY2021 to 11.0% in FY2025, while gross margin was 24.4% in FY2025. Net income moved from -$134.0M in FY2023 to $162.0M in FY2025, with FY2025 EPS reaching $4.00. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $4.42B and operating margin reached 15.0%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue growth was 0.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 65.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NCR Atleos held $429.0M in cash and short-term investments against $2.94B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.51B. Shareholders' equity was $464.0M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.33 and a current ratio of 1.03. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $356.0M, generating free cash flow of $239.0M after capital expenditures of $117.0M. During FY2025, the company directed $28.0M toward share buybacks, while total assets stood at $5.66B.
Valuation and performance
NATL trades at a forward P/E of 7.4x and an EV to EBITDA multiple of 7.6x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 18.8x and 16.6x, respectively. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 0.8x is also below the peer median of 2.8x, while trailing P/E sits at 17.8x versus the peer median of 28.1x. Over the past year, NATL gained 24.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
All 3 covering analysts assign a Hold rating to NATL, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $50.20, representing a 9.3% premium over the last close of $45.94. Consensus projections indicate current fiscal year EPS of $4.80 on revenue of $4.47B, followed by next fiscal year EPS of $5.36 on revenue of $4.65B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $2.51B combined with a current ratio of 1.03 leaves limited buffer if operational cash flows decline.
- Revenue growth slowed from 18.7% in FY2021 to 0.9% in FY2025, highlighting risks of top-line stagnation.
- Institutional ownership of 99.3% creates vulnerability to large-scale institutional selling or rebalancing.
- Short interest stands at 6.6% of float, indicating lingering market skepticism regarding the business.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NATL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NATL income statement, NATL balance sheet, NATL key metrics, NATL analyst forecast, NATL chart. See the NATL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NATL AI stock analysis FAQ
What does NCR Atleos Corporation do?
NCR Atleos Corporation provides self-directed banking solutions including automated teller machine (ATM) hardware, software, services, and access to the Allpoint network. It also offers managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients globally.
What are analysts projecting for NATL's earnings?
Analysts project current fiscal year EPS of $4.80 on revenue of $4.47B, followed by next fiscal year EPS of $5.36 on revenue of $4.65B.
How much debt does NCR Atleos carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $2.94B in total debt and $429.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.51B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.33.
How is NATL valued relative to sector peers?
NATL trades at a forward P/E of 7.4x and an EV to EBITDA of 7.6x, below the US-listed Technology peer medians of 18.8x and 16.6x, respectively.