Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) AI Stock Analysis
NAKA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNakamoto Inc. (NAKA) develops and invests in Bitcoin-native companies and capital markets infrastructure. Across the trailing twelve months, the company generated $28.4M in revenue with an operating margin of -25.1%. Over the past year, the stock declined 76.5% while holding net debt of $145.6M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $127.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $28.4M
- P/E
- 3.8x
- 1Y return
- -76.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $13.33 87.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts project rapid top-line growth to $71.6M in revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- Quarterly revenue expanded by 8680.1% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026.
- The analyst mean price target of $13.33 implies an 87.0% upside over the closing price of $7.13.
Bear case
- Net losses expanded substantially in FY2025 to -$52.2M alongside an operating margin of -10824.0%.
- The stock fell 76.5% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Free cash flow remained deeply negative at -$23.7M during FY2025.
What Nakamoto does
Nakamoto Inc. develops and invests in a global portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies. It offers commercial and financial infrastructure for the capital markets. The company was formerly known as Kindly MD, Inc. and change its name to Nakamoto Inc. in January 2026. Nakamoto Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Nashville, Tennessee. It employs 33 people and trades on the NASDAQ exchange.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue contracted at a 4-year CAGR of -7.7% from FY2021 to FY2025, falling from $2.5M to $1.8M. In FY2025, revenue fell 33.0%, while operating margin dropped to -10824.0% and net loss expanded to -$52.2M compared to net income of $149,336 in FY2021. However, trailing twelve month revenue reached $28.4M, aided by quarterly revenue growth of 8680.1% for the period ended June 30, 2026. Operating margin for the trailing twelve months stood at -25.1%, with diluted EPS of $1.87.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Nakamoto Inc. held $19.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $164.7M, resulting in net debt of $145.6M. Shareholders' equity was $236.4M, with total assets of $422.5M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70. The company maintained a current ratio of 0.15. In FY2025, cash deployment included capital expenditures of $234,383 and share buybacks of $320,404, while free cash flow stood at -$23.7M.
Valuation and performance
At a market capitalization of $127.6M and enterprise value of $310.3M, NAKA trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 3.8x, lower than the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.5x, above the peer median of 3.2x, while EV to revenue sits at 7.8x and price-to-book is 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock dropped 76.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. The stock also trades with a beta of 15.70.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts maintain 2 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $13.33, representing an 87.0% premium over the last close of $7.13. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $71.6M and EPS of -$21.06. Nakamoto has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 18, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio of 0.15 signals thin short-term liquidity coverage.
- Total debt stands at $164.7M against cash and short-term investments of $19.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Stock price volatility is elevated, evidenced by a beta of 15.70 and a 52-week range spanning $3.33 to $42.00.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NAKA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NAKA income statement, NAKA balance sheet, NAKA key metrics, NAKA analyst forecast, NAKA chart. See the NAKA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NAKA AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Nakamoto Inc. pay a dividend?
Nakamoto Inc. does not pay a regular dividend.
What is the consensus analyst price target for NAKA?
The mean analyst price target is $13.33, representing an 87.0% premium over the last close of $7.13.
How much debt does Nakamoto Inc. carry?
As of June 30, 2026, Nakamoto Inc. had total debt of $164.7M and net debt of $145.6M.
When is Nakamoto Inc.'s next earnings report?
The next earnings date is scheduled for November 18, 2026.