MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MXLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MXL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) provides communications systems-on-chip solutions across the connected home, infrastructure, and industrial markets. Trailing twelve month revenue stands at $568.9M with a net profit margin of -18.2%, though revenue grew 55.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026. The stock has generated a 1-year return of 308.2% and carries an enterprise value of $7.73B.

Market cap
$6.47B
Revenue (TTM)
$568.9M
P/E
—
fwd 31.5x
1Y return
308.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$94.55
32.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew 55.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts estimate FY2026 EPS will surge 464.5% to $1.75, followed by 49.3% EPS growth in FY2027 to $2.61.
  • The consensus mean price target of $94.55 represents a 32.6% upside compared to the last close of $71.32.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve month profitability is negative, with an operating margin of -2.4% and an EPS of -$1.18.
  • MaxLinear trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 31.5x, well above the US-listed Technology peer medians of 2.8x and 18.8x.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 71.4% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026.

What MaxLinear does

MaxLinear, Inc. specializes in providing advanced communications systems-on-chip solutions for connected home, wired and wireless infrastructure, and industrial applications. Its integrated portfolio incorporates radiofrequency technology, high-performance analog circuits, mixed-signal processing, digital signal processing algorithms, security engines, data compression, networking layers, and power management. Key end products include cable DOCSIS, fiber, and DSL modems, broadband gateways, Wi-Fi routers, and wireline networking devices. The company also provides radio transceivers and modems for 4G/5G base-station infrastructure and optical transport modules for data centers and metro networks, selling to electronics distributors, module makers, OEMs, and ODMs.

Growth and profitability

MaxLinear's annual revenue rose from $892.4M in FY2021 to $1.12B in FY2022, before dropping to $693.3M in FY2023 and $360.5M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 29.7% to $467.6M, while net income was -$136.7M and operating margin was -27.1%. Across the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue experienced a CAGR of -0.5%. Gross margin stood at 56.8% in FY2025, compared to 52.9% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $568.9M with an operating margin of -2.4%. In the quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue increased 55.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 71.4%.

MXL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, MaxLinear held $64.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $139.4M, resulting in net debt of $74.6M. Total assets were $822.6M and shareholders' equity was $484.8M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 and a current ratio of 1.78. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $19.6M and free cash flow was $7.0M. During that fiscal year, capital expenditures totaled $12.6M and share buybacks totaled $20.0M.

MXL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At its last close of $71.32 on October 16, 2026, MaxLinear had a market capitalization of $6.47B and an enterprise value of $7.73B. Its forward P/E of 31.5x trades at a premium to the 18.8x forward P/E median of its US-listed Technology peers. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 11.4x compared to the peer median of 2.8x, while its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 12.3x is below the peer median of 16.6x. MaxLinear's 1-year return of 308.2% surpassed the S&P 500 SPY return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 47.5% trailed the benchmark return of 83.0%.

MXL key metrics →

What analysts expect

MaxLinear has 6 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 4 Hold recommendations from analysts, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $94.55 is 32.6% above the last closing price of $71.32. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.75 and revenue of $738.0M. For the following fiscal year, 11 analysts project EPS of $2.61 on revenue of $958.5M. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings on October 22, 2026.

MXL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock has a beta of 3.94, indicating substantial share price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Net debt of $74.6M against cash and short-term investments of $64.8M leaves a modest liquidity buffer.
  • Top-line performance has shown historical cyclicality, marked by a 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.5% between FY2020 and FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 7.5% of the float, reflecting negative positioning by market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MXL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MXL income statement, MXL balance sheet, MXL key metrics, MXL analyst forecast, MXL chart. See the MXL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MXL AI stock analysis FAQ

Does MaxLinear pay a dividend?

No, MaxLinear does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed capital toward $12.6M in capital expenditures and $20.0M in share repurchases.

When is MaxLinear's next earnings date?

MaxLinear's next earnings report is scheduled for October 22, 2026. The company exceeded EPS estimates in 3 of the prior 4 quarters.

What are analysts forecasting for MaxLinear's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $738.0M and EPS of $1.75. For the following fiscal year, 11 analysts project revenue of $958.5M and EPS of $2.61.

How much debt does MaxLinear have?

As of June 30, 2026, MaxLinear held $139.4M in total debt and $64.8M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $74.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29.

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