Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MURAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MUR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Murphy Oil Corporation is an exploration and production company operating in the United States, Canada, and global regions. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.99B in revenue with an operating margin of 37.9%. Recent quarterly results showed revenue expansion of 35.6% year-over-year.

Market cap
$5.98B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.99B
P/E
20.7x
fwd 13.4x
1Y return
59.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$41.53
-0.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 35.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, driven by a 916.6% surge in quarterly earnings.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 4.5x, well below the US-listed Energy peer median of 8.0x.
  • Analyst forecasts project full-year FY2026 earnings per share to surge 188.6% to reach $3.95.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue contracted for three consecutive years from $4.22B in FY2022 to $2.69B in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow fell significantly from $1.05B in FY2022 to $396.4M in FY2025.
  • The consensus mean price target of $41.53 sits 0.5% below the recent close of $41.74.

What Murphy Oil does

Murphy Oil Corporation, established in 1950 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, operates in the oil and natural gas exploration and production sectors. The company specializes in the exploration and extraction of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across global regions, including the United States and Canada. Murphy Oil Corporation utilizes advanced technologies and operational practices to optimize production efficiency while committing to safety and environmental stewardship. The company maintains an extensive portfolio of exploration and production assets to supply global energy needs.

Growth and profitability

Murphy Oil's revenue fell from $4.22B in FY2022 to $3.45B in FY2023, $3.02B in FY2024, and $2.69B in FY2025, representing an annual revenue drop of 10.9% in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 9.0%. Net income decreased to $104.2M in FY2025, down from $407.2M in FY2024 and $661.6M in FY2023, while gross margin tightened to 21.5% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 35.6% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings rose 916.6%, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $2.99B and diluted EPS to $2.02.

MUR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Murphy Oil held $483.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.26B, resulting in net debt of $1.78B. Shareholders' equity totaled $5.26B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 and a current ratio of 0.85. During FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $1.25B and free cash flow reached $396.4M. Capital expenditures absorbed $851.4M, while the company returned capital through $186.2M in dividends paid and $102.6M in share buybacks.

MUR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $41.74 per share, Murphy Oil trades at a trailing P/E of 20.7x and a forward P/E of 13.4x, compared to medians of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively, for its US-listed Energy peers. The stock's EV/EBITDA multiple is 4.5x, below the US-listed Energy median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 2.0x versus the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, Murphy Oil shares gained 59.5%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, the stock returned 73.0% against 83.0% for the S&P 500.

MUR key metrics →

MUR dividend

Murphy Oil pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 3.35%. The payout ratio is 57.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years. Over the last five years, Murphy Oil's dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 15.8%, with the next ex-dividend date scheduled for November 16, 2026.

MUR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on the stock. The mean price target is $41.53, which sits 0.5% below the closing price of $41.74. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.95 and revenue of $3.34B. Murphy Oil has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

MUR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 10.2%.
  • Liquidity may face constraints given a current ratio of 0.85 alongside net debt of $1.78B as of June 30, 2026.
  • FY2027 consensus estimates project an earnings contraction, with EPS estimated to decline 7.6% to $3.65.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MUR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MUR income statement, MUR balance sheet, MUR key metrics, MUR analyst forecast, MUR chart. See the MUR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MUR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Murphy Oil's dividend yield and payout history?

Murphy Oil offers a forward annual dividend of $1.40 per share, which corresponds to a 3.35% dividend yield and a 57.9% payout ratio. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 44 years.

When does Murphy Oil report its next quarterly earnings?

The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What is Murphy Oil's debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Murphy Oil reported total debt of $2.26B and cash of $483.9M, resulting in net debt of $1.78B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43.

How did Murphy Oil stock perform compared to the S&P 500 over the past year?

Murphy Oil gained 59.5% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8% over the same duration.

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