Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) AI Stock Analysis
OXY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOccidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is an integrated energy company engaged in oil and gas exploration, chemical manufacturing, and midstream marketing. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $23.93B with an operating margin of 45.4%, rebounding from three consecutive annual revenue declines through FY2025. The company maintains a market capitalization of $62.36B and carries $14.63B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $62.36B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $23.93B
- P/E
- 17.7x fwd 14.6x
- 1Y return
- 55.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $69.58 11.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 53.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings jumped 964.9%.
- The stock trades at an enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 5.4x, well below the S&P 500 Energy median of 8.4x.
- Occidental has beaten EPS estimates in all 4 of its last quarters, supporting a consensus current fiscal year EPS estimate of $6.68.
Bear case
- Annual revenue fell for three consecutive fiscal years, moving from $36.25B in FY2022 down to $21.59B in FY2025.
- Analysts project next fiscal year EPS will decline 28.7% to $4.76 as revenue drops 6.5% to $25.56B.
- Balance sheet obligations remain material, with total debt at $14.63B and net debt at $10.48B as of June 30, 2026.
What Occidental does
Occidental Petroleum Corporation acquires, explores, and develops oil and gas properties across the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates via three primary segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas unit uncovers and produces oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The Chemical segment manufactures and distributes industrial products including chlorine, caustic soda, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, and vinyls such as polyvinyl chloride. The Midstream and Marketing segment manages gathering, processing, transportation, and storage for hydrocarbons, carbon dioxide, and power, while engaging in energy trading and strategic investments.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Occidental Petroleum generated a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 4.7%. Revenue expanded to $36.25B in FY2022 before dropping 21.9% in FY2023 to $28.33B, 22.3% in FY2024 to $22.02B, and 1.9% in FY2025 to $21.59B. Operating margin contracted from 36.6% in FY2022 to 17.2% in FY2025, while net income declined from $13.22B to $2.37B over the same span. Trailing twelve month results showed a rebound, with revenue at $23.93B and an operating margin of 45.4%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 53.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 964.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Occidental Petroleum held $4.15B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $14.63B, leading to net debt of $10.48B. Total assets stood at $80.36B against shareholders' equity of $41.75B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 and a current ratio of 1.41. In FY2025, the company generated $10.53B in operating cash flow and $4.11B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $6.43B in capital expenditures, $1.59B in dividends paid, and $966.0M in share issuances, while share count grew 4.1% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Occidental Petroleum trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.7x, below the 18.2x median of its S&P 500 Energy peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6x sits above the peer median of 13.4x, while its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.4x trades at a discount to the peer median of 8.4x. The price-to-sales multiple is 2.6x versus the peer median of 2.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 55.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 111.8% compared to 83.0% for the index.
OXY dividend
Occidental Petroleum pays a forward annual dividend of $1.12 per share, representing a 1.80% dividend yield at its last close of $62.38. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 45 years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 3.2%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 23.6%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 16 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $69.58 implies an upside of 11.5% from the last closing price of $62.38. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $6.68 on revenue of $27.33B. For the following fiscal year, 25 analysts forecast EPS to decline 28.7% to $4.76 on revenue of $25.56B. Occidental Petroleum beat EPS expectations in each of its last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company spent $6.43B on capital expenditures in FY2025, which limits free cash flow relative to its $10.53B operating cash flow.
- Next fiscal year estimates call for a 28.7% reduction in EPS to $4.76, reflecting potential earnings volatility.
- Net debt stands at $10.48B against $4.15B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this OXY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: OXY income statement, OXY balance sheet, OXY key metrics, OXY analyst forecast, OXY chart. See the OXY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
OXY AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Occidental Petroleum's dividend yield and payout schedule?
The stock has a forward annual dividend of $1.12 per share, offering a 1.80% dividend yield based on its $62.38 closing price. Dividends are distributed quarterly, supported by a 23.6% payout ratio.
How does Occidental Petroleum's valuation compare to energy peers?
Occidental trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.7x and an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.4x, compared to the S&P 500 Energy medians of 18.2x and 8.4x, respectively.
What is the consensus analyst price target for OXY stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $69.58, which is 11.5% above the last closing price of $62.38. Coverage includes 11 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and 16 Hold ratings.
When does Occidental Petroleum report earnings next?
The next earnings date is scheduled for November 9, 2026. Current fiscal year consensus estimates forecast revenue of $27.33B and EPS of $6.68.