Antero Resources Corporation (AR) AI Stock Analysis
AR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAntero Resources Corporation (AR) is an independent energy producer operating in the Appalachian Basin. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 21.7% to $5.01B, generating $634.4M in net income and $1.24B in free cash flow. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.1x and has gained 25.5% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $11.88B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.78B
- P/E
- 11.1x fwd 9.0x
- 1Y return
- 25.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $49.41 27.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings grew 79.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.0x and EV/EBITDA of 6.5x, both discounted relative to the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 12.7x and 8.0x.
- Consensus estimates project fiscal year 2026 EPS to surge 155.9% to $4.40, supported by an analyst mean price target of $49.41.
Bear case
- Short-term liquidity is constrained, as reflected by a current ratio of 0.40 as of June 30, 2026.
- Antero Resources has exceeded consensus earnings expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Revenue has historically shown steep cyclicality, falling 48.4% in FY2023 and 3.7% in FY2024 before its recent rebound.
What Antero Resources does
Antero Resources Corporation is an independent energy company that develops, produces, explores, and acquires natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties across the United States. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, the company operates across three core segments: Exploration, Development, and Production of Natural Gas, NGLs, and Oil; Marketing and Utilization of Excess Firm Transportation Capacity; and Midstream Services through its equity method investment in Antero Midstream. Its operating footprint includes approximately 504,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin and 174,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale as of December 31, 2022, supported by 620 miles of gas gathering pipelines and 34 compressor stations.
Growth and profitability
Revenue reached $5.79B in FY2021 and $8.30B in FY2022 before dropping 48.4% to $4.28B in FY2023 and 3.7% to $4.12B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue expanded 21.7% to $5.01B, delivering a gross margin of 22.1% and an operating margin of 16.5%. Net income reached $634.4M with diluted EPS of $1.72 in FY2025, up from $57.2M in FY2024. From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 10.2%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $5.78B with a profit margin of 18.8%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 12.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 79.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Antero Resources held total assets of $15.23B and total debt of $4.62B against shareholders' equity of $8.32B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 and a current ratio of 0.40. In FY2025, the company produced $1.63B in operating cash flow and $1.24B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $387.8M for capital expenditures, $136.4M for share buybacks, and $125.3M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -8.7%.
Valuation and performance
Antero Resources trades at a trailing P/E of 11.1x and a forward P/E of 9.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. The company carries an enterprise value of $15.58B with an EV/EBITDA of 6.5x, below the peer median of 8.0x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.1x compared to the peer median of 1.8x, alongside a PEG ratio of 0.45. Over the trailing 1-year period, the stock returned 25.5%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, its 97.3% return also exceeded the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 12 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $49.41, representing a 27.8% premium over the last close of $38.65. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $6.80B and EPS of $4.40, reflecting 155.9% EPS growth. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings release is scheduled for October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Commodity price volatility poses a risk to top-line performance following historical revenue contractions of 48.4% in FY2023 and 3.7% in FY2024.
- The balance sheet carries $4.62B in total debt alongside a current ratio of 0.40 as of June 30, 2026.
- Top-line growth is forecast to slow substantially following FY2026, with next fiscal year revenue projected to grow just 0.7% to $6.85B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Antero Resources Corporation (AR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AR income statement, AR balance sheet, AR key metrics, AR analyst forecast, AR chart. See the AR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AR AI stock analysis FAQ
What were Antero Resources' revenue and net income in FY2025?
In FY2025, Antero Resources generated $5.01B in revenue, an increase of 21.7% from FY2024, and reported net income of $634.4M.
What is the consensus analyst price target for AR stock?
The mean analyst price target is $49.41, which sits 27.8% above the stock's last closing price of $38.65.
How much debt does Antero Resources carry?
As of June 30, 2026, Antero Resources reported total debt of $4.62B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 and a current ratio of 0.40.
When is Antero Resources' next earnings date?
Antero Resources is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings on October 28, 2026.