MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) AI Stock Analysis
MTSI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is an analog semiconductor manufacturer serving wireless, wireline, industrial, and defense markets. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.16B with an operating margin of 23.3%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 35.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 166.7%.
- Market cap
- $20.03B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.16B
- P/E
- 83.5x fwd 32.3x
- 1Y return
- 90.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $395.33 50.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 35.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, supported by 166.7% earnings growth.
- Consensus estimates project forward EPS growth of 58.9% for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, and 54.0% for the following fiscal year.
- The company holds a net cash position of $291.9M with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 as of June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- The stock trades at elevated multiples, including a trailing P/E of 83.5x and EV-to-EBITDA of 58.2x compared to peer medians of 28.1x and 16.6x.
- MACOM posted a net loss of -$54.2M in FY2025 despite recording revenue of $967.3M.
- Share count expanded by 10.1% over a 5-year period despite $43.1M spent on share buybacks in FY2025.
What MACOM Technology Solutions does
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. designs and manufactures analog semiconductor solutions for wireless and wireline applications across global markets, including the United States, China, Taiwan, and Japan. Its portfolio includes integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches, passive and active components, and complete subsystems. These products serve telecommunications infrastructure like 5G deployments, high-capacity optical networks, and wireless base stations, as well as industrial and defense systems, including military radar, electronic countermeasures, and communication links. The company distributes products via direct sales, applications engineers, independent sales representatives, resellers, and distributors.
Growth and profitability
MACOM increased revenue from $606.9M in FY2021 to $967.3M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.8%. Gross margin was 54.9% in FY2025, compared to 50.9% in FY2024 and 55.8% in FY2023. Operating margin stood at 13.4% in FY2025, while the company reported a net income of -$54.2M and EPS of $3.22. Research and development expense expanded to $244.5M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.16B with a profit margin of 20.7% and EPS of $3.14. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 35.8% year-over-year, and earnings grew 166.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, MACOM held $663.0M in cash and short-term investments against $371.1M in total debt, yielding net cash of $291.9M. The company had a current ratio of 2.34 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, with shareholders' equity of $1.54B and total assets of $2.15B. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $235.4M, generating $153.2M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $82.2M, and share buybacks totaled $43.1M in FY2025.
Valuation and performance
At $262.24 per share, MACOM has a market capitalization of $20.03B and an enterprise value of $20.78B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 83.5x, forward P/E of 32.3x, and price-to-sales of 17.2x, each higher than the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x, 18.8x, and 2.8x, respectively. Its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 58.2x compared to the peer median of 16.6x. Over the past year, MTSI returned 90.1%, outpacing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 307.9% against 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on MTSI, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $395.33, which is 50.8% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $262.24. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $5.51 on revenue of $1.32B. For the following fiscal year, 16 analysts forecast EPS of $8.49 on revenue of $1.80B. MACOM beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's stock shows elevated volatility with a beta of 1.76 and closed 6.4% below its 200-day average.
- Annual net income has fluctuated significantly, moving from $440.0M in FY2022 to -$54.2M in FY2025.
- High valuation multiples leave little room for execution missteps, with price-to-sales at 17.2x against a peer median of 2.8x.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MTSI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MTSI income statement, MTSI balance sheet, MTSI key metrics, MTSI analyst forecast, MTSI chart. See the MTSI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MTSI AI stock analysis FAQ
Does MACOM Technology Solutions pay a dividend?
MACOM Technology Solutions does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
What is MACOM's current debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, MACOM had $371.1M in total debt and $663.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $291.9M.
What is the consensus analyst target price for MTSI?
The mean analyst price target is $395.33, representing a 50.8% premium to the last closing price of $262.24 on October 16, 2026.
When is MACOM's next earnings report?
MACOM's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.