M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) AI Stock Analysis
MTB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchM&T Bank Corporation is a regional bank holding company offering retail and commercial banking services across 688 banking offices. Over the trailing twelve months, the bank generated $9.46B in revenue with a net profit margin of 31.9%. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4x while offering a 2.79% dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $31.09B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.46B
- P/E
- 11.4x fwd 10.6x
- 1Y return
- 24.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $249.32 15.8% vs last close
Bull case
- M&T Bank Corporation generated strong trailing twelve-month profitability, achieving an operating margin of 43.1% and net profit margin of 31.9%.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 10.6x, representing a discount to the median of 12.6x for its S&P 500 Financial Services peers.
- Capital returns remain supported by consistent cash generation, including $2.86B in FY2025 free cash flow and 42 consecutive years of dividend payments.
Bear case
- Annual revenue fell 8.2% in FY2025 to $12.31B, down from $13.40B in FY2024.
- Recent top-line momentum has been modest, with quarterly revenue growth of just 0.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
- Over a 5-year timeframe, the stock's return of 66.7% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What M&T Bank does
M&T Bank Corporation operates as a bank holding company delivering commercial and retail banking services. Its Business Banking segment serves small businesses and professionals with deposit accounts, lending facilities, cash management solutions, and specialized financial products. The Commercial Banking segment caters to middle-market and large commercial clients, providing deposit products, commercial lending, leasing, letters of credit, and cash management. Founded in 1856 and headquartered in Buffalo, New York, the company operates 688 banking offices across several U.S. states alongside a full-service commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $6.08B to $12.31B, posting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.4%. While annual revenue declined 8.2% in FY2025 from $13.40B in FY2024, net income rose to $2.85B with diluted EPS reaching $17.05. Gross margin stood at 74.6% and operating margin reached 30.0% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $9.46B and operating margin expanded to 43.1%. For the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 10.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, M&T Bank Corporation held $39.69B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.37B, resulting in net cash of $33.32B. Total assets reached $220.51B alongside shareholders' equity of $28.16B. The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 and a current ratio of 6.23. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $3.00B and free cash flow was $2.86B. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $143.0M in capital expenditures, $2.63B in share buybacks, and $1.04B in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $215.28, M&T Bank Corporation has a market capitalization of $31.09B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 10.6x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers at 14.2x and 12.6x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.3x compares with the peer median of 3.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 24.0%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of 66.7% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
MTB dividend
M&T Bank Corporation pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $6.00 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 2.79%. The bank has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.3%. The payout ratio stands at 24.9%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 15 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $249.32, which is 15.8% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $215.28. Consensus forecasts project FY2026 revenue of $10.05B and EPS of $19.42, representing 14.2% EPS growth. For FY2027, 17 analysts project revenue of $10.42B and EPS of $21.06. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is January 19, 2027.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 0.5% year-over-year, lagging behind the peer median growth rate of 10.3%.
- The stock price of $215.28 trades 3.1% below its 200-day moving average and remains below its 52-week high of $255.95.
- Future revenue growth is expected to stay moderate, with consensus estimates predicting top-line growth of 3.7% in FY2027.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MTB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of M&T Bank Corporation (MTB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MTB income statement, MTB balance sheet, MTB key metrics, MTB analyst forecast, MTB chart. See the MTB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MTB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is M&T Bank's current dividend yield and payout ratio?
M&T Bank has a forward annual dividend of $6.00 per share, yielding 2.79% with a payout ratio of 24.9%.
How does MTB valuation compare to industry peers?
MTB trades at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 10.6x, below the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 14.2x and 12.6x.
What are analysts' price targets for MTB stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $249.32, which is 15.8% above the stock's closing price of $215.28 on October 16, 2026.
When is M&T Bank Corporation's next earnings release?
The bank's next earnings report is scheduled for January 19, 2027.