MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MSTRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MSTR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) delivers enterprise analytics software and operates a bitcoin treasury strategy. The company reported TTM revenue of $498.3M with an operating margin of -6808.1% and net income of -$3.85B in FY2025. Its market cap stands at $57.94B, supported by $2.45B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $6.77B.

Market cap
$57.94B
Revenue (TTM)
$498.3M
P/E
—
fwd 6.8x
1Y return
-51.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$239.27
74.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $239.27, implying a 74.9% premium over the last close of $136.83.
  • Analysts estimate next fiscal year EPS will reach $13.04, reflecting projected EPS growth of 168.2%.
  • The company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 5.39 and cash and short-term investments of $2.45B as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow remained deeply negative at -$22.58B in FY2025, following -$22.14B in FY2024.
  • The company posted a net loss of -$3.85B in FY2025 and an EPS of -$99.08 over the trailing twelve months.
  • Share dilution has been substantial, with a 5-year share count change of 221.4%.

What MicroStrategy does

MicroStrategy Incorporated delivers enterprise analytics software and services to clients worldwide through the MicroStrategy platform. The platform provides hyperintelligence products, visualization and reporting tools, mobility features, and custom applications, allowing analysts and data scientists to access trusted, governed data. It supports multiple deployment options, enterprise semantic graph, scalability, and security through APIs and gateways. In addition, the company provides MicroStrategy Support, MicroStrategy Consulting, and MicroStrategy Education services through its enterprise sales force and channel partners. Since 2020, the company has also pursued a bitcoin treasury strategy, holding bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset under the brand name Strategy.

Growth and profitability

MicroStrategy generated revenue of $510.8M in FY2021, which moved to $499.3M in FY2022 and $496.3M in FY2023. Revenue fell to $463.5M in FY2024 before rising to $477.2M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin decreased from 82.0% in FY2021 to 68.7% in FY2025. Operating margin was -153.6% in FY2021, -255.5% in FY2022, -23.2% in FY2023, -399.8% in FY2024, and -8.6% in FY2025. Net income was -$535.5M in FY2021, -$1.47B in FY2022, $429.1M in FY2023, -$1.17B in FY2024, and -$3.85B in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 6.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth was -77.5%.

MSTR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, MicroStrategy held $2.45B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.77B, leaving net debt at $4.32B. Total assets stood at $52.56B and shareholders' equity reached $45.33B. Liquidity shows a current ratio of 5.39 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$67.2M and free cash flow was -$22.58B. Cash usage in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $22.51B and dividends paid of $381.4M, while the 5-year share count change was 221.4%.

MSTR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

MicroStrategy trades at a forward P/E of 6.8x, compared to 25.7x for the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 116.3x and EV/EBITDA of 179.2x trade above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers of 11.9x and 30.6x, respectively. The company carries an enterprise value of $85.24B and a price-to-book ratio of 2.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned -51.8%, trailing the SPY return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock achieved an 82.5% return, compared to 83.0% for SPY.

MSTR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 13 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $239.27, representing an upside of 74.9% from the last close of $136.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$19.12 on revenue of $501.7M. For the next fiscal year, 8 analysts project EPS of $13.04 and revenue of $512.8M. MicroStrategy achieved 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

MSTR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $6.77B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $2.45B, resulting in net debt of $4.32B.
  • The stock exhibits high volatility with a beta of 3.57 and a 1-year return of -51.8%.
  • Operating margins have been severely depressed, registering -8.6% in FY2025 and -6808.1% over the trailing twelve months.
  • MicroStrategy recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and quarterly earnings growth was -77.5% for the period ended June 30, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MSTR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MSTR income statement, MSTR balance sheet, MSTR key metrics, MSTR analyst forecast, MSTR chart. See the MSTR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MSTR AI stock analysis FAQ

When does MicroStrategy report its next earnings?

MicroStrategy is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026. Over the last 4 quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats.

What are analysts' price targets for MSTR?

Analysts have a mean price target of $239.27 for MSTR, which is 74.9% above its last close of $136.83. The rating breakdown includes 13 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings.

How much debt and cash does MicroStrategy have?

As of June 30, 2026, MicroStrategy had $2.45B in cash and short-term investments and $6.77B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $4.32B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.15.

What is MicroStrategy's valuation compared to peers?

MicroStrategy has a forward P/E of 6.8x, which is lower than the 25.7x median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 116.3x is well above the peer median of 11.9x.

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